BTC Mining Difficulty Drop
Bitcoin mining difficulty experienced a significant
11.16% drop on February 8, 2026, bringing the metric down to 125.86 trillion. This represents the largest negative adjustment since the 2021 China mining ban. The decline was primarily driven by a sharp reduction in network hashrate caused by severe winter storms in the U.S. (notably Winter Storm Fern), which forced major mining operations in Texas and other regions to curtail power. Additionally, a steep decline in Bitcoin's price—falling from an October peak of $126,000 to roughly $69,500—has squeezed miner margins and triggered a "capitulation" phase where less efficient operators have exited the market.
Key Insights
Profitability Strain: The "hashprice"—a measure of daily mining revenue—plunged to record lows of approximately $33–$35 per petahash, falling below the estimated $40 breakeven level for many operators.
Operational Shifts: Some major mining firms, such as Bitfarms, have reportedly begun repurposing hardware for Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads to secure more stable revenue streams.
Self-Correction: While the drop reflects market stress, it acts as a self-correcting mechanism. Lower difficulty reduces competition for remaining active miners, potentially improving their profitability and signaling a local market bottom.
Next Adjustment: Following the reset, the network has seen a surge in returning capacity. The next adjustment, expected around February 20, 2026, is currently projected to increase difficulty by roughly 12% to 15% as block times have already begun to speed up again.
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