🟠1. SHIB as you have never known it before
SHIB is not a technical project in the classical sense, but an attention protocol.
Most analyses fail because they treat SHIB as if it is:
• Either a DeFi project
• Or an empty meme coin
The two truths together are not accurate.
SHIB at its core: a system for capturing human attention and converting it into financial liquidity, its value does not come from:
• Transaction speed
• Or technological innovation
Rather from:
• The spread
• Tradability
• The story
• The ability to reproduce the dream
And here lies the strength, and the danger at the same time.
🟠2. System structure what is not said
The SHIB ecosystem is not random as it seems, but can be broken down into clear functional layers:
• The currency (SHIB): A populist interface, easy, psychologically low-cost.
• The technical layer (Shibarium): An attempt to provide functional legitimacy and reduce friction.
• The symbolic layer (NFT – Metaverse): Creating a long-term emotional connection.
• The psychological layer (Burn – Community): Engaging the investor in the idea of sacrifice and hope
These layers are not necessarily designed to build a strong economy, but to ensure continuity of interest and liquidity.
🟠3. The burn is a fact without myths
Burning means permanently removing coins from circulation.
Theoretically:
• Supply decreases
• Scarcity increases
• The price rises
But practically with SHIB:
• The current burn is very slow compared to the size of the supply
Critical numbers (realistic approximation):
• The original supply: about 1 quadrillion SHIB
• Current circulating supply: about 589 trillion SHIB
Let's be precise:
• Burning 10 trillion annually: requires about 50 years to create a radical change
• Burning 100 trillion annually: requires 5 to 6 years
(And it is a nearly impossible scenario under current conditions)
» Summary: The current burn is symbolic and psychological more than economic, but the crucial factor is not just the amount of the burn, but the entity that controls it and its timing.
🟠4. Whales... the silent player
A significant proportion of SHIB is concentrated in:
• A limited number of wallets
• Central exchanges
This means:
• The price does not move only according to supply and demand, but according to silent decisions of a limited number of players. Any price analysis that ignores this fact is an incomplete analysis.
🟠5. Accurate price prediction without illusions
Alert: These are probabilistic analytical forecasts, not investment advice
5-year forecast (around 2031):
~ The realistic scenario (most likely):
✓ The continuity of SHIB as a popular trading currency
✓ Limited burn
✓ Rise with overall market cycles
Expected price:
• 0.000015 – 0.00003 USD
~ The optimistic scenario (rare):
✓ Actual expansion of Shibarium
✓ Impactful burn
✓ A new major meme wave
Potential price:
• 0.00005 – 0.00008 USD
10-year forecast (around 2036):
~ The long-term realistic scenario:
✓ SHIB remains
✓ But it is not a pioneer
✓ It turns into a classic meme coin
Expected price:
• 0.00002 – 0.00004 USD
• The optimistic scenario (very unlikely):
✓ Huge and systematic burn
✓ Broad adoption in Web3 systems
✓ Radical change in supply structure
The logical upper price:
• 0.0001 USD
» Reaching 1 USD is mathematically unrealistic given the current supply.
🟠6. A truth not clearly stated
SHIB is not a traditional investment.
Rather, it is:
• A speculative tool
• A psychological mirror for the masses
• Digital social experiment
Whoever understands this nature: can follow its cycles and understand its dynamics, and make decisions based on risk management, rather than relying on direct price predictions.
🟠7. Methodological framework
• This analysis does not start from the premise that SHIB is a traditional technical project, nor does it treat it as a classic investment asset subject to rigid financial models, but relies on:
✓ Structural analysis
✓ Collective behavior
✓ Dynamics of attention and liquidity
✓ Characteristics of highly speculative asset markets
• Any difference in expectations or readings is not a mistake in the analysis but a difference in the methodology used to understand a non-traditional asset.
🟠8. Summary
✓ SHIB is socially strong
✓ Economically weak in the long term
✓ The current burn is more psychological than impactful
✓ The price will not explode without a real exceptional event
✓ Staying in the market does not mean excelling in it
Alert:
This content is for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before any financial decision.
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