What the “Super Bowl Indicator” Is
The Super Bowl Indicator is a Wall Street folklore theory (not a causal market strategy) suggesting that:
If a National Football Conference (NFC) team wins the Super Bowl, the S&P 500 tends to perform better that year.
If an American Football Conference (AFC) team wins, returns tend to be lower.
Sahm
This idea originated in 1978 with NYT sportswriter Leonard Koppett and has been widely reported in financial and mainstream media.
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📈 Historical Data on Seahawks Wins & the S&P 500
Here’s what historical trends show in relation to Seahawks Super Bowl results:
Super Bowl Wins: The Seahawks have one Super Bowl win (Super Bowl XLVIII). In years following that NFC victory, the S&P 500 historically posted an above-average gain (+11.4%) versus wins by some other teams.
Sahm
Super Bowl Loss: The Seahawks also lost in Super Bowl XLIX to the Patriots — the effect on the S&P 500 after that event isn’t commonly highlighted in indicator data, but AFC wins are generally associated with slightly weaker market performance.
Sahm
🧠 What the Numbers
