#vanar $VANRY 🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING!!

The U.S. government will shut down on February 14!

Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing based on a 70% probability.

Please read that section again.

71%.

We have an example of a shutdown, let's compare the data:

From January 31 to February 4, just 5 days:

BTC sold off

ETH sold off

Gold sold off

Silver sold off

And all this happened within just 5 days.

Now imagine if it lasts longer:

This is what we might face as early as next week:

– Job report (NFP): The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is also affected by the government shutdown. If this situation persists, the monthly non-farm payroll job report will be delayed.

– Inflation data (CPI/PPI): The data collection devices for the Consumer Price Index have stopped functioning. This means we won’t know whether inflation is rising or falling.

– GDP & PCE: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) typically halts operations, meaning no GDP updates and no PCE (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure).

– CFTC report: The "Commitments of Traders" (CoT) report, which indicates the positions of large investors, has stopped being published.

– The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has suspended nearly all activities except for emergency enforcement measures.

– IPO & M&A are stalled: New IPOs and the merger review process have been paused. If you are waiting for a deal approval, good luck.

– Historically, shutting down public facilities reduces GDP growth by about 0.1% to 0.2% for each week it lasts.