Is Ripple’s XRP Setting Up For A Monster Comeback Rally – Or One More Brutal Liquidity Trap?
08.02.2026
XRP is sitting at a decisive inflection point, and the next move could be violent. After weeks of tight consolidation, the market is coiling for expansion, with volatility compressed and volume steady. Historically, this kind of structure often precedes a sharp directional move of 20–40% in either direction.
On the bullish side, if XRP holds above the $1.85–$1.90 support zone and breaks cleanly above $1.97–$2.00, momentum traders could step in fast. A confirmed breakout could open the door to $2.30–$2.50 in the short term (+20–30%), with an extended rally targeting $3.00–$3.50 later in 2026 if liquidity improves and institutional narratives strengthen (+60–90% from current levels).
On the bearish scenario, failure to reclaim $2.00 and a breakdown below $1.80 would likely trigger another liquidity sweep. In that case, XRP could revisit $1.60–$1.65 (-10–15%), and in a broader market risk-off move, even $1.40 (-25%) cannot be ruled out before a real bottom forms.
Right now, probabilities look roughly split:
• 55% chance of an upside continuation if resistance flips to support
• 45% chance of one more downside trap before a sustained rally
XRP’s direction will remain tightly linked to overall crypto liquidity and Bitcoin’s trend. A breakout with volume favors a fast repricing higher, while rejection keeps the market stuck in shakeout mode a little longer.
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