It's so nice to rest on the weekend. I got up and ate a bowl of 3U hot beef noodles and wrote a little essay that I always wanted to share!
The truth that everyone will understand after being in the crypto circle for a long time: the market never sleeps for 24 hours, it is not a benefit at all; the weekend fluctuations are just a bilateral meat grinder. The effort you think you are making is just self-comfort 🤡
When I first entered the circle, I was like this. I clearly knew there was no volume and no market, yet I couldn't help but itch to enter. Jumping up and down repeatedly, just when I made a profit, it would spike down; just when I made a loss, it would rally. I would trade seven or eight times a day, losing all the transaction fees, and my mindset would be ruined. When the market opened on Monday, I found my principal was reduced again. Also, the weekend is not meant for ordinary people to make money (the market has long figured out human nature). Institutions rest, the stock market is closed, and funds lie flat; only retail investors are left cutting each other. In such a market, no matter how powerful the indicators are, they are useless. The only way to consistently make a profit is to focus on a one-way market, especially from Monday to Friday (if you manage to trade until late on Friday or early on Saturday, that area is all black, and it’s also an opportunity).
Control your hands, choose the right time, follow the right trend, and you will find that trading can be very easy.
📌 Remember the three points below, and calmly enjoy the benefits of the crypto market!
1. How to grasp trading time?
🔥 High win rate · Must-do market time (one-sided/breakthrough/large volatility)
1. 07:00–09:00 Asian market early session (intraday direction window)
Characteristics: overnight US stocks + weekend news digestion, gaps, trend continuation, frequent changes in trend
Suitable for: judging the main trend of the day, lightly following the trend
Avoid: blindly bottom fishing and topping
2. 20:00–24:00 European market + US market overlap (strongest market throughout the day)
Characteristics: largest trading volume, most volatile, most stable one-sided market, institutional main battleground
Suitable for: making trends, making breakthroughs, holding positions, taking big profits
Key: Federal Reserve data, CPI, interest rate meetings, regulatory news all fall within this time frame
3. 01:00–03:00 US market tail (trend termination/reversal)
Characteristics: fund settlement, breakout confirmation, acceleration at the tail end
Suitable for: wrapping up positions, counter-trading on the next day's opening
Not suitable for: opening large positions
⚠️ Medium risk · Cautious operation period (oscillations/fake breakouts prevalent)
10:00–11:00, 14:00–15:00
Characteristics: market is flat, funds are light, small oscillations, frustrating market
Strategy: light positions, quick in and out, do not get attached to battles
16:00–18:00 Asian market tail + European and American vacuum (prone to spikes)
Characteristics: low liquidity, sharp rises and falls, false breakouts, frequent inducements
Strategy: watch more, act less, do not chase positions
❌ Low win rate, better to avoid early, be cautious during the opening period (pure oscillation, retail mutual cuts)
12:00–14:00 Market lunch break (the worst market throughout the day)
Characteristics: low volume, narrow range, all indicators ineffective
Result: High frequency stop losses, transaction fees wiped out
Saturday and Sunday all day (market closure effect)
Characteristics: institutions resting, funds flat, small oscillations, repeated spikes
Conclusion: Directly shut down and rest, not trading = making money
A mnemonic (easy to remember and use)
Early 7-9 look for direction, late 8-12 take one-sided positions, early morning 1-3 wrap up, noon 12-2 do not enter, directly rest on weekends.
Finally, I want to say a heartfelt truth: Making money in the crypto space is not about who watches the market longer, but about who is better at picking the time and market conditions.
On weekends, spend quality time with family, rest, review, and don't exhaust yourself in oscillations. Save your energy for one-sided markets from Monday to Friday, making the right trend once is better than oscillating a hundred times.
2. Strong correlation with stocks: follow large funds to find direction
The crypto market is not isolated; its correlation with US stocks and A-shares is getting stronger!
US tech stocks (Nasdaq, Tesla): The trend of BTC is highly positively correlated with Nasdaq; when US stocks surge, the crypto market tends to rise in sync; when US stocks plummet, the crypto market will also follow and bear pressure.
A-share blockchain/digital currency sector: domestic A-share blockchain sector movements often reflect market sentiment in advance; when the sector rises significantly, the crypto market tends to show one-sided following.
US Dollar Index and US Treasury Yield: When the US dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rise, funds will flow out of risk assets (cryptocurrencies), leading to a one-sided decline in the crypto market; conversely, it is easy to rise.
3. Core news focus for one-sided markets
To catch a one-sided market, you must focus on these types of news:
1. Federal Reserve monetary policy: interest rate hikes, cuts, balance sheet reduction, minutes of interest rate meetings directly affect the valuation of global risk assets;
2. Regulatory policies: The regulatory trends of China, the US, and Europe regarding cryptocurrencies (such as ETF approvals, trading restrictions) are the core drivers of large-scale one-sided markets;
3. Institutional funding trends: inflow/outflow of funds from ETFs like Grayscale and BlackRock, as well as BTC increases/decreases by listed companies (such as MicroStrategy);
4. Major industry events: Bitcoin halving, Ethereum upgrades, Layer 2 explosions, etc., will spawn medium to long-term one-sided markets.
Finally, a brief summary
The essence of the crypto market is to follow funds and news to make trends, not to exhaust oneself in oscillations. Take a good rest on weekends and save your energy for the golden time slots from Monday to Friday—catch the one-sided market, and the profits from one major trend far outweigh the repeated turmoil of a week of oscillation.
Remember: trading is not about who watches the market longer, but about who can accurately grasp the trend.
Qin Feng 2026.2.8
