Discipline is greater than prediction; simple logic is the survival rule.
I am an old player who has survived since the crash in 2018. I've seen the myth of tenfold returns in one night and witnessed the tragedy of liquidation and jumping off buildings. Looking back now, the pitfalls I've encountered and the tuition I've paid over the years have ultimately crystallized into a set of the simplest action guidelines. What I'm sharing today is not a 'get-rich-quick secret,' but the simple logic of how to survive first and then steadily make money.
1. Choosing coins: Only play with the 'strong' ones; don't be too smart.
I never bother to study hundreds of white papers, nor do I touch those 'zombie coins' that have been stagnant for half a year. My principle is simple: only pick targets from the growth leaderboard.
Why? Because capital is smart; coins that have risen indicate consensus and liquidity, leading to greater subsequent opportunities.
Monthly lines determine life and death: short-term K-lines are all noise; I only look at the monthly MACD—golden cross to enter, death cross to exit. Don't bet on 'oversold rebounds', it's a low probability event; betting once can hurt you.
Two, enter the market: wait for 'certain signals'; it's better to miss out than to act recklessly.
Most people lose money not because there are no opportunities, but because they are too impatient. I now monitor the 70-day line daily:
Only when the price tests the 70-day line and the trading volume increases is it a signal to add positions;
If there are no signals, be patient; the market is not short of opportunities, but lacks patience.
Remember: the consequence of impulsive ordering is often cutting losses and exiting.
Three, holding positions: do not fall in love, just make trades.
What hurts people most in the cryptocurrency world is 'emotional blackmail': unable to leave when in profit and fantasizing about rebounds when in loss. My discipline is simple and brutal:
In an upward trend: hold on tightly, don't get shaken out by fluctuations;
If it breaks key support (like the 70-day line): immediately liquidate, never hold on stubbornly.
Many people ask me: 'What if there is a rebound right after I sell?' My answer is: take a small miss to avoid the risk of liquidation; this trade is worth it!
Four, take profit: staggered harvesting, refuse greed.
Those who want to get rich overnight often starve in the end. My profit-taking strategy is like a mechanical program:
Sell half at a 30% rise, then sell another half at a 50% rise;
Set trailing stop losses for remaining positions to let profits run.
The benefit of doing this is that it locks in profits without missing out on extreme market conditions.
Five, the most crucial rule: respect the market; discipline is life.
I have seen too many people get carried away after making money and then go all-in only to lose everything. The cruelty of the cryptocurrency world is that the money you earned through luck will definitely be lost back through skill.
Position management is the bottom line: a single position should not exceed 20% of total funds; never go all in;
Emotions are the enemy: when excited, you want to chase highs; when fearful, you cut losses indiscriminately—this is all a manifestation of being manipulated by the market.
Written at last:
I am not a god and I can make mistakes too. But my system ensures that when I am wrong, I lose less, and when I am right, I earn steadily. The cryptocurrency world will never let down disciplined individuals but will certainly teach a lesson to those clever gamblers. If you think these methods are too 'stupid', ask yourself: is pursuing excitement more important or making money?
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