I am an old hand who entered the circle in 2018, having witnessed the craziness of Bitcoin breaking ten thousand and then halving, as well as seeing people around me go from riches to zero. Today, I won’t talk about illusions, only share the survival rules accumulated after 8 years of real trading pitfalls. The following are all personal opinions, the market can contradict at any time, please judge the risks yourself.
1. Want to survive with small funds? First learn to 'hold back'
With a principal of less than 100,000, the biggest fear is being greedy. The market has at least one main trend each year (like the inscriptions in 2024 or AI coins in 2025), focus on one and understand it thoroughly. Don't envy those who flaunt their profits from altcoins every day—you never know how many times they've faced losses behind the scenes. Remember: being fully invested is like running naked; keeping 30% cash is your life-saving straw during sudden market surges.
2. Newbies shouldn’t rush to pay tuition fees
I've seen too many people throw real money in right away, ending up as 'philanthropists' of fees and slippage. Simulation trading is not child's play; it's a sharpening stone: practice for 3 months to strictly execute stop-losses each time before hitting the real market. True experts don't flinch when losing money; this mindset is cultivated, not innate.
3. Good news landing? Run fast!
If there’s no rise on the day of a major good news release, the next day is likely to be a trap. When good news is exhausted, it turns into bad news; for example, new coins listed on an exchange often open high and drop low. Don’t fantasize that 'this time is different'; the market specializes in correcting all forms of disobedience.
4. Must reduce positions before holidays
In the week before long holidays like Spring Festival and National Day, institutions and big players will reduce their positions in advance to avoid risks, leading to a sharp reduction in liquidity and increased volatility. My habit is to reduce my position to below 50% five days in advance; I'd rather miss the tail-end profits than be caught by a black swan.
5. Mid to long-term relies on 'rolling', not 'holding dead'
Long-term doesn't mean holding without action! My strategy: sell part when it rises over 20%, add positions when it breaks through support. For example, take profits in batches when Bitcoin breaks $70,000, and buy back when it pulls back to $63,000. This locks in profits without fearing to miss out.
6. Only trade 'breathing coins'
Trading volume is the lifeblood of a coin. Coins with daily trading volumes below $10 million are immediately blacklisted, such as some niche MEME coins, which can easily be manipulated by traders. Focus on mainstream coins like BTC/ETH or altcoins with real ecosystems (like SOL, AVAX).
7. Don’t panic during sharp declines; be cautious during gradual declines
Sharp declines often have violent rebounds (for instance, after the 2023 LUNA crash, BTC quickly recovered), while gradual declines can last for months. Strategy: buy in batches during sharp declines, stay out and watch during gradual declines, and don’t catch falling knives.
8. Stop-loss is a gift to yourself
The worst loss I suffered was holding a certain public chain coin that dropped 90%. Now, as soon as it breaks the stop-loss line, I cut losses immediately; even if it rebounds after I sell, I don’t regret it—capital is there, and opportunities will always exist.
9. Rely on these two things for short-term trading
15-minute K-line + KDJ golden cross/death cross is enough to determine short-term buying and selling points. MACD is too lagging; don’t complicate things. For instance, when the J value of KDJ drops below 0 and then crosses back up, it is often a rebound signal.
10. Master three moves, surpass a hundred miscellaneous techniques
I only use three tools: trend lines, trading volume, and RSI for 8 years. First, practice these until they become second nature: for example, build positions in batches when RSI is below 30, and take profits in batches when it's above 70. The more tools you have, the more chaotic your decisions become.
Lastly, let me say a few words
The market is always changing, but human nature remains the same: greed, fear, and laziness are the root causes of losses. In my real trading group, those who survive are the 'fools' who strictly follow discipline—they may miss many opportunities but never lie flat in a big pit.
Want to survive long-term? Remember one thing: plan your trades, trade your plan.
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