Don't let your wallet lie to you: XRP is on a tightrope where a single misstep could send it straight to the basement of $1. 📉
Look, family, we need to be clear. Ripple's XRP lived a movie dream between late 2024 and mid-2025, jumping from a humble $0.40 to touching the sky at $3.66. It was one of the most aggressive rises we've seen in large coins, driven by optimism over its legal troubles. But today the reality is different: we are 61% below that peak, trading near $1.44, and the internal numbers are screaming at us "watch out!". 🚨
What worries me is not just the price, but the Realized Capitalization Momentum. To put it simply, this indicator tells us whether money is coming in or out of the network, and right now it's in negative territory. People are taking their profits and protecting their money because confidence is cooling off. 🥶
However, here's something curious: although large capital seems to be moving, the spot market (where you and I buy) shows that about $89 million of XRP have left exchanges in the last week. This means many small investors are not selling but are keeping their coins in private wallets waiting for a miracle or a recovery that, to be honest, still isn't on the horizon. 💼
Now, pay attention to this technical data that keeps us awake at night: the MVRV Z-Score. It's right on the zero line. If it breaks downwards, we officially enter a heavy bearish regime where most XRP holders would start seeing their accounts in the red (unrealized losses), and that usually causes panic and more selling. 📉🔥
We are in a critical demand zone. If buyers don't get their claws out here, the drop could extend down to $1.00, which would mean a total retracement of 72% from its all-time high. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator continues to decline, confirming that selling pressure isn't letting go of the coin's neck.
