Combining the market trends of ETH in 2026, technical patterns, and the direction of institutional funds

Many people only see the result of ETH breaking below $2300, but fail to notice the weeks of analysis and waiting behind it.

This ETH short position is by no means a lucky guess following the trend, nor is it an emotional operation driven by market panic. From on-chain capital movements to technical pattern breakdowns, from analyzing institutional movements to implementing position risk control, the core logic that runs through it all remains the same: go with the flow.

While the market is still debating whether the "oversold rebound can continue," and while the community is still promoting the narrative of "strong support at the $2000 level," what we should really do is not be swayed by the noise of bulls and bears, but rather calm down and break down the key signals: the daily reverse cup and handle pattern has been confirmed, and after breaking the neckline, the rebound is under pressure from the 20-day moving average; institutions like BlackRock continue to see capital flight from ETFs, with net outflows exceeding $200 million in a single day, leading to a complete exhaustion of buying power; the MVRV valuation indicator shows that the current price has not yet reached the strong support zone, with clear downward space visible. These fragmented signals, under the framework of multi-cycle resonance, piece together a clear trend direction.

The essence of trading has never been about accurately predicting price points, but rather about respecting probabilities and adhering to rules. Before this operation, we had already made it clear: breaking below the key support level of $2280 is the confirmation signal, with positions strictly controlled at 12% of total funds, a leverage ratio locked at 2 times, and stop-loss set above $2350—every parameter is derived from quantitative calculations of risk-reward ratios, rather than

When ETH's technical patterns, on-chain data, and institutional movements form a triple bearish resonance, and the power of the trend far exceeds the short-term emotional rebound, following the trend is the most prudent choice.

If you are also tired of the anxiety of frequent stop losses and eager to establish a robust trading logic, no longer being led by market emotions, then—perhaps we can have a chat. After all, in the long-term game of cryptocurrency, reliable logic is far more important than short-term profits.