WHY BTC STILL CAN TOUCH 50K?
As per the cheat sheet given by AI it says 50K is possible if recovery doesn’t go V shape but decides to go W shape. Which is the most probably going to happen. Lets check it how?
In technical analysis, a W-shape recovery (or Double Bottom) usually requires the price to drop back down to retest a previous low to confirm that sellers are finally exhausted.
Looking at $BTC chart and the current market data for February 2026, here is why $48k - $50k is very much "on the cards":
1. The 200-Week Moving Average (The Ultimate Floor)
In BTC weekly chart, the 200-week MA is sitting around $58,056. Historically, during "Deep Capitulation," Bitcoin doesn't just touch this line—it often wicks below it to liquidating the last remaining "long" positions. A wick down to the $48k–$50k range would represent a classic "fake-out" below the 200-MA before a real recovery begins.
2. The Psychology of the "W"
To form a W-shape:
* First Bottom: We are likely seeing it now around $60k–$64k (where RSI is at a record low of 17).
* The "Middle" Bounce: Expect a relief rally back toward $75k–$80k as people think "the bottom is in."
* The Second Test: This is where the "W" is made. If the market isn't strong enough, a second flush-out occurs. This second drop often goes lower than the first to grab "sell-side liquidity." That is exactly where $50k comes into play.
3. Confluence with the "Cheat Sheet"
If we are currently in Capitulation, the next phase is Depression. On the Wall St. Cheat Sheet, Depression is a long, sideways grind that often starts with one final, painful lower low.
> Summary: While $60k is the immediate psychological support, the "Maximum Pain" scenario—which markets love to follow—would involve a secondary drop to the **$48k - $52k** region to fill old CME gaps and clear out the last of the leverage.
Please Note USA - IRAN conflict is enough to take BTC to 50K
Those who will pour as much as money at this level will gain at least 2x to 3x minimum during Bull rally.
DYOR
