🧠 Bitcoin between cycles, whales, and institutional pressure: The decisive moment

📆 Key events and hard data

July 15–25: Massive BTC movements by large holders (Galaxy Digital transferred 30,109 BTC ≈ $3.5B; Satoshi era wallets reactivated +80,000 BTC).

BTC falls from $117K to $114.6K after an increase in supply.

Technical support broken at $118,859 (Fibonacci 23.6%), generating $379M in liquidations.

Technical indicators show weakness: MACD -316.2, RSI 64.06, break of the 7-day moving average ($118,512).

Derivatives reflect panic: $35.5M liquidated in short positions.

📉 Market dynamics

Total capital outflow: Altcoin Season Index drops 29% (down to 39).

ETFs lose strength: only 0.3% growth in assets under management ($149.7B).

Sentiment remains in Greed (Index at 67), raising the risk in leveraged positions.

✨ Bitcoin's magic pattern: Heading to $280,000?

Historical analysis suggests a repetitive pattern every ~1300–1500 days: drop, silent accumulation, and rebound.

Currently, Bitcoin would be closing its third phase of accumulation.

The compression of cycles could accelerate the next rally.

Projections estimate a range between $150K and $280K, if the pattern repeats and global liquidity continues to grow.

Current price: $118,952, with increasing volume. Key moment ✅

#BTC #btcnoticias #Write2Earn #cryptonews #BTCHoldings $BTC

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