Regulatory uncertainty: Ongoing speculation that the U.S. might seize escrowed XRP from Ripple intensified sell-offs—XRP slid ~2.7% to ~$2.06 amid this fear .

Economic & geopolitical headwinds: If broad markets retreat due to global tensions or macro concerns, XRP often falls in tandem.

Technical weakness: XRP failed to hold key support around $2.10–$2.15, and broken descending wedge patterns and EMAs increase downside risk near $1.88–$1.63 .

🎯 Latest XRP Updates & Court Win

Court ruling (July 2023): Judge Torres found that XRP sold on public exchanges is not a security—but institutional sales violated securities law .

Recent motion denied (June 26, 2025): A joint settlement by Ripple and SEC to reduce a $125M fine to $50M and lift the injunction was rejected. The case now remains in limbo .

SEC shifts under Trump: Since Trump’s second term began, the SEC has dropped several lawsuits—including against Binance, Coinbase and Kraken—and is taking a friendlier posture toward crypto .

đŸ‡ș🇾 Trump’s Take & Policy Moves

Strategic reserve support: Trump listed XRP among the five key cryptos (with BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA) for a U.S. digital assets reserve—causing a ~10% jump in March .

Pro-crypto agenda: In a second term, Trump plans to fire Gary Gensler, appoint Paul Atkins (pro-crypto), disband anti-crypto units, and launch a crypto task force—all lowering crypto regulation .

Market reaction: Prediction markets now assign a ~44% probability XRP will break its $3.40 high in 2025, and many see a path to a spot XRP ETF .

đŸ’” XRP Price Predictions

Horizon Outlook

End‑2025 $2.3–$5.81 (average $4.89)

2026–2030. Gradual rise: $5.50 → $26.50 by 2030

Prediction markets. 44% chance of hitting $4+; 80% chance to drop below $2 in 2025

🔍 Summary & Key Catalysts

Downside today due to technical breakdowns, legal fears (escrow seizure), and macro risk-off. Watch support around $2.00–$2.10.

Bull case builds on Trump-era crypto reform, potential spot XRP ETF approval, and long-term use in payments/CBDC.

Catalysts ahead: Judge Torres’s next ruling, SEC settlement appeal, and ETF decisions.

✅ Final Thoughts

XRP remains highly sensitive to legal clarity and macro signals. While near-term volatility may persist, favorable policy trends—especially under Trump—could pave the way for a strong rebound. Price expectations range broadly: $2–$5 by end‑2025, with multi-year horizons looking at $10+.

👉 Your move? Are you holding through the legal noise or waiting for regulatory certainty?

#USCorePCEMay

$XRP $BTC

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