marketanalysis.

🟣 Fundamental Analysis
Looks at news and events that affect prices.
Example:
A big company announces they will accept Ethereum, which might push its price higher.
🟣 Technical Analysis
Uses charts and past data to predict future prices.
Example:
Seeing a pattern on the chart that suggests a price increase.
🟣Sentiment Analysis
Checks how traders feel about a coin.
Example:
If traders are excited about Cardano (ADA), its price might go up.
#FundamentalAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSentiment #marketanalysis. #cryptotrading

🔎 Overview
Pair: $ALLO /USDT
Exchange: Binance
Current Price: $0.0746
24H Change: +14.95%
24H High: $0.0850
24H Low: $0.0637
24H Volume (ALLO): 151.85M
Market Sentiment: Short-Term Bullish
ALLO has recently demonstrated strong upside momentum, positioning itself among the day’s notable gainers. A surge in volume and a decisive breakout from intraday consolidation levels suggest renewed buying interest.

📈 Price Action Analysis
ALLO traded within a relatively tight intraday range before witnessing a sharp bullish breakout. The move from the $0.063–$0.068 demand zone toward the $0.074–$0.085 supply region was supported by increasing trading volume — a positive confirmation signal.
Key observations:
Strong bullish momentum on lower timeframes (15m–1H).
Volume expansion during breakout phase.
Higher lows forming, indicating trend continuation bias.
Buyers currently controlling short-term order flow (56% buy-side dominance).
The price is now approaching a short-term resistance cluster near the 24H high ($0.0850).

🧠 Market Structure & Trend Outlook
Short-Term (Intraday – 1H)
Bias: Bullish
Momentum indicators favor buyers.
Breakout structure suggests continuation if volume sustains.
Minor pullbacks may present re-entry opportunities.
Mid-Term (4H – Daily)
Bias: Neutral to Cautiously Bullish
The 30-day performance (-31.68%) and 90-day performance (-79.67%) indicate prior downtrend pressure.
Current rally may be early-stage recovery rather than confirmed macro reversal.
Confirmation requires sustained closes above $0.0850–$0.0900.

🎯 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Support Zones
$0.0700 – Immediate intraday support.
$0.0635–$0.0650 – Strong demand zone (recent accumulation base).
🔹 Resistance Zones
$0.0850 – 24H high / short-term resistance.
$0.0900–$0.0950 – Psychological & structural resistance.
A breakout above $0.0850 with strong volume could open the path toward the $0.09+ region. Failure to hold $0.0700 may trigger a pullback toward the demand base.

📊 Volume & Liquidity Insights
24H trading volume is significantly elevated.
Increased green volume bars confirm genuine buying interest.
Order book shows buyer dominance (56% vs 43%).
High liquidity reduces slippage risk, making ALLO attractive for short-term traders.

📌 Trade Consideration (Educational Purpose Only)
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Entry on pullback: $0.0710–$0.0730
Stop Loss: Below $0.0685
Targets: $0.0850 → $0.0900
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Rejection at $0.0850
Breakdown below $0.0700
Downside Target: $0.0650
Risk management remains essential due to volatility.

⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
ALLO appears to be a relatively volatile asset with significant historical drawdowns (as seen in 30-day and 90-day metrics). Traders should:
Avoid over-leveraging.
Use proper stop-loss strategies.
Monitor volume confirmation before entries.
Be cautious of false breakouts.
Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid price swings.

🏁 Conclusion
ALLO/USDT is currently exhibiting strong short-term bullish momentum backed by increased trading volume and improved order flow structure. While the immediate outlook remains positive, confirmation above the $0.0850 resistance is required for sustained upside continuation.
Traders should monitor volume behavior closely and apply disciplined risk management strategies. If momentum sustains, ALLO could attempt a broader recovery phase; however, failure to hold key support levels may result in retracement toward the recent accumulation zone.

👇Trade Wisely & Manage Risk..
#ALLO #ALLOUSDT #BinanceSquare #marketanalysis. #bullish

The asset $RIVER is currently trading around 17.98. Its price is moving within a tight range just below a significant resistance area, indicating a period of consolidation and indecision among traders. The market's short-term trend is neutral, waiting for a clear directional signal.
· Primary Support: The 15–16 price zone is viewed as an important near-term support level.
· Key Resistance: The area between 21 and 24 is a major barrier. A sustained move above this zone is needed to shift the outlook to bullish.
Potential Price Scenarios
· Bullish Case: If the price can decisively break above the 21 level, it could trigger a rally with an initial target between 26 and 30. A confirmed close above 24 would strongly indicate a shift to bullish momentum.
· Bearish Case: If the price fails to overcome the resistance and gets rejected, it could fall back towards the 15 support. A break and close below 12 would signal a continuation of the prior downtrend and likely lead to further losses.
Overall Sentiment & Suggestion
RIVER is at a critical technical juncture. Market momentum is balanced, making both a breakout upward or a rejection downward plausible outcomes. The analysis suggests that traders should wait for a confirmed move—either above 24 or below 12—before taking a definitive position, rather than anticipatingthe direction prematurely.
#River #marketanalysis. #RIVERUSDT永续 #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows

$DASH is currently at $37.14, down 0.20% in 24 hours
From the price chart, there are several clear support levels (horizontal price zones where buying interest could appear):
1. Immediate support — around $31.00–$31.44
· This is the most recent low before the current price.
2. Next strong support — near $25.00
· A psychological and previous consolidation level.
3. Long-term support — near $0–$25.00 from early Jan 2025 (far left of chart)
· Not currently in play unless a major breakdown occurs.
The current price is above the immediate support ($31) but below all major moving averages (MA7, MA30, MA200), which indicates a bearish trend in the short to medium term.
Between January 9 and January 24, the price traded roughly between $95.74 and $75.00, forming a descending rectangle (bearish consolidation).
· After breaking down, price now moves between $31.44 and ~$50 in a new, wider consolidation range – still looking for a clear "square" or box pattern.
Currently, the closest thing to a “square” would be the $31–$37 range, but it's not yet fully formed horizontally.
Technical Indicators Summary:
· RSI(14) = 35.47 → Approaching oversold, but not extreme.
· MACD = -1.98, DIF below DEA → Bearish momentum.
· MA(200) = $42.94 → Current price below → long-term downtrend.
· Predict Pool: 53.00 → Some expectation of bounce toward $53.
Conclusion:
· Strongest support zone: $31.00–$31.44
· If broken, next support is $25.00
· No clear consolidation visible yet — price is in a downtrend channel since early January.
· Watch for RSI reversal signals if price approaches $31 support.
#Dash #DASHUSDT #marketanalysis. #WhaleDeRiskETH #USIranStandoff

By GhostScalpMaster | February 1, 2026 - Morning Analysis
---$BTC
📊 CURRENT SITUATION:
· BTC Price: $78,708.87 (-6.51%)
· RSI(6): 22.21 (vs 1.66 yesterday → IMPROVEMENT)
· MACD: -519.35 (still very negative)
· Distance to EMAs: Still huge (7-9K$ gap)
---
🔄 COMPARISON WITH YESTERDAY: CLEAR PROGRESS
Yesterday (Crash) Today Improvement
RSI(6): 1.66 RSI(6): 22.21 +1,238%
Price: $77,313 Price: $78,708 +1.8%
Sentiment: Panic Sentiment: Controlled fear Stabilization
MACD: -436 MACD: -519 Worse (bearish momentum persists)
Conclusion: The worst of the panic selling is over, but momentum remains bearish.
---
📰 NEWS ANALYSIS: THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE UGLY
✅ THE GOOD (Positives):
1. Norway Sovereign Fund: +149% BTC position in 2025 (9,573 BTC)
· Strong signal of LONG TERM institutional adoption
· Sovereign fund = decades horizon, not months
2. Whale Accumulation: 6M USDC deposited to buy BTC low
· Smart money preparing for rebound
· Liquidity ready to support prices
3. UTXO Profit/Loss Ratio: Extreme zones = historical correction end
· On-chain data supports rebound thesis
· LT accumulation opportunity
❌ THE BAD (Negatives):
1. ETF Outflows: -$509M yesterday, -$1.48B this week
· Retail institutional capitulation
· But: Norway counter-balances
2. Miner Crisis: US winter storm → electricity costs ↑, hash rate ↓
· Short-term impact on network security
· Possible miner selling pressure
3. Technical Damage: Price -7% in 24h, below all EMAs
· Time needed for recovery
· Strong technical resistances
⚠️ THE UGLY (Risks):
· Community Sentiment: Panic & fear (5 publications)
· Possible continuation of outflows
· Uncertain Macro context (government shutdown)
---
🎯 UPDATED TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Key Levels:
```
IMMEDIATE SUPPORT: $78,000 (tested yesterday, held)
STRONG SUPPORT: $75,719 (yesterday's low)
EXTREME SUPPORT: $74,975 (last resort)
RESISTANCE 1: $80,436 (EMA7)
RESISTANCE 2: $83,801 (EMA25)
RESISTANCE 3: $84,796 (technical zone)
```
RSI(6) = 22.21: INTERPRETATION
· Yesterday 1.66: Historical buy zone (triggers activated)
· Today 22.21: Still oversold, but less extreme
· Neutral target: 30-35 (next objective)
---
📈 SCENARIOS FOR NEXT 24-48H
Scenario 1: Continuation Recovery (55%)
· RSI continues rising toward 30
· Test EMA7 at $80,436
· Consolidation $78,000-$81,000
· Trigger: ETF outflows stop
Scenario 2: Re-test Support (35%)
· Rejection at $79,000-$80,000
· Re-test $76,000-$77,000
· Double bottom formation
· Trigger: New outflows
Scenario 3: Range Bound (10%)
· $77,000-$79,000 tight range
· Silent accumulation
· Waiting for macro catalyst
---
💼 CURRENT TRADING STRATEGY
For ACCUMULATORS:
```
LEVEL 1: $78,000-$78,500 (NOW)
LEVEL 2: $76,000-$77,000 (if re-test)
LEVEL 3: $74,000-$75,000 (extreme)
STRATEGY: DCA over 3-5 days
HORIZON: 3-6 months minimum
```
For TRADERS:
```
LONG ENTRY: $78,200-$78,500
STOP: $77,800 (-0.9%)
TARGET 1: $79,800 (+1.7%)
TARGET 2: $80,500 (+2.5%)
POSITION: 1-2% capital
```
For CAUTIOUS:
```
WAIT FOR: RSI(6) > 30
CONFIRMATION: Close > EMA7 ($80,436)
ENTRY: $80,500-$81,000 (breakout)
```
---
🏛️ MACRO CONTEXT ANALYSIS:
Government Shutdown (Day 2):
· Impact: Reduced but present
· Traditional markets: Stabilizing
· Bitcoin: Possible decoupling as safe haven
Fed & Rates:
· High rates maintained
· Reduced liquidity persists
· Bitcoin benefits if USD confidence declines
---
📊 MY UPDATED THESIS:
Short Term (1-3 days):
· Rebound toward $80K-81K likely
· RSI recovery in progress
· Volume decisive for continuation
Medium Term (1-3 weeks):
· Range: $76K-85K likely
· Depends on ETF flows (reversal needed)
· Target: Return to $85K-88K if stabilization
Long Term (3-6 months):
· 2026 Halving approaching (6 months)
· Norway adoption = strong LT signal
· $120K target still on table
· Accumulation now = excellent timing
---
🚨 CATALYSTS TO MONITOR:
Potential Positives:
1. ETF flow reversal (net inflows)
2. RSI(6) > 30 confirmation
3. Breakout > $80,436 (EMA7)
4. Norway announces more purchases
Potential Negatives:
1. New ETF outflows > $200M
2. Break of $77,000 support
3. Worsening miner crisis
4. Prolonged shutdown > 5 days
---
🏆 TRACK RECORD REMINDER:
Recent Predictions:
Date Prediction Result Status
30/01 Test $78K possible ✅ Achieved Validated
31/01 RSI extreme → rebound ✅ In progress Partial
31/01 Support $75K strong ✅ Held Validated
Next prediction: Test $80,436 (EMA7) within 48h
---
🤝 COMMUNITY SENTIMENT:
Sentiment Evolution:
· Yesterday: Total panic (RSI 1.66)
· Today: Fear but hope (RSI 22.21)
· Tomorrow: Cautious optimism if >$80K
Your Mindset:
· Still panicking?
· Actively accumulating?
· Waiting for lower?
· Planning exit?
---
🛡️ FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS:
Rule #1: Patience
· Recovery takes time
· No FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out)
· No panic selling
Rule #2: Diversification
· Not all in BTC
· Cash ready for opportunities
· Hedge if necessary
Rule #3: Horizon
· Trading: days/weeks
· Investment: months/years
· Mix according to risk profile
---
🔮 FORECAST:
Based on RSI 22.21 + Data:
· Next test: $80,000-$80,500
· Timing: 24-48 hours
· Volume needed: >$50B/day
· Risk: Rejection at $79,000-$80,000
I'm monitoring:
1. ETF flows 10am NY time
2. RSI progression hour by hour
3. Order book changes $78K-$80K
4. Additional Norway news
---
Tags: I #ETFOutflows #NorwaySovereignFund #MiningCrisis
👉 Follow @GhostScalpMaster for:
· Real-time recovery analysis
· RSI progression tracking
· Flow reversal alerts
· Post-crash strategies
Your engagement helps maintain objective analysis during difficult market phases. 🙏
---
📊 "Stairs are built step by step, recoveries candle by candle." - GhostScalpMaster
💎 Tip for continued recovery phase analysis
🔔 Subscribe for breakout/resistance test alerts

Here are statistics on the annual stock market return in the first year after a Democratic or Republican president is elected. The statistics go back to 1928, almost 100 years.
CONCLUSIONS
1. There is a high probability that the stock market and USD will not have problems in 2025. This may also mean that cryptocurrencies will continue to grow.