btcusdt

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure despite having the 1W MA200 holding the crash last week. Having long lost its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which confirmed the Bear Cycle, we are now approaching its 2nd Phase, which is the bottoming process.
This doesn't mean that the bottom is here but more like that the market is entering a Phase where it will gradually attempt to lead us to the bottom of the 4-year Cycle, which based on it should be around September - October 2026.
Having a look at the past three Bear Cycles and drawing their Phase 2 fractals after the 0.5 Fibonacci level, that led to their bottom, we can see that the structure is quite familiar. Not identical, but similar. All principles are the same and there is a high correlation with the 2022 Bear Cycle in particular.
Even though we haven't yet technically reached the middle (0.5 Fib) of this Bear Cycle, according to that fractal, BTC should start making a series of Lower Lows gradually, that can potentially lead to as low as $40000. That could be the Bear Cycle bottom.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!
$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Bitcoin is facing strong selling pressure as bearish momentum continues to dominate the market. After several weeks of heavy headwinds, BTC/USDT has recorded another downward move in the current session, confirming that sellers remain in control.
📉 Long-Term Trend (Daily Chart): Bearish
The market structure still shows lower highs and lower lows, signaling continued downside risk unless bulls reclaim key resistance zones.
🔑 Key Price Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
• $69,000
• $72,000
• $74,500
📍 Support:
• $66,000
• $65,000
• $63,000
A break below the $65,000–$63,000 support area could accelerate selling pressure and open the door for deeper corrections. However, a strong bounce from support may trigger a short-term relief rally.
⚠️ Traders should monitor volume and momentum indicators closely, as volatility is expected to remain high. Risk management remains crucial in the current market environment.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #CryptoAnalysis $BTC

If you zoom out and study previous cycles, a clear structure emerges. Each major bear phase has historically lasted roughly a year, often delivering deep drawdowns — early cycles saw declines approaching 80%.
As #Bitcoin $BTC has grown in market cap and maturity, volatility has gradually compressed. The upside is no longer exponential like the early years, and the downside, while still painful, has become relatively less extreme in percentage terms.
But “less extreme” does not mean safe.
A 50–60% correction remains completely normal within Bitcoin’s macro rhythm. If price revisits the $50,000 region, that would represent roughly a 60% drawdown from the cycle high — severe, but historically consistent.
In that type of scenario, the focus shouldn’t be on perfectly catching the bottom. It should be on positioning intelligently. Scaling in gradually across high-probability zones tends to outperform emotional all-in attempts at calling the exact turning point.
Right now, both time and magnitude suggest the correction may not be fully mature. Major cycle bottoms typically require not just price damage, but duration — months of exhaustion, disbelief, and structural reset.
Markets rarely bottom in a single violent move. They bottom when participants grow tired.

Could the bottom form this year? Absolutely.
But the more important question isn’t the exact price level — it’s preparation. When the opportunity finally becomes obvious in hindsight, will you still have capital? Will you still have clarity? Will you still have discipline?
Cycles don’t reward prediction.
They reward patience.
#BTC
#BTCUSDT
#Perp
67,234.8
+0.43%