trial_signal

(JUST LONG) 📢 💯
Bullish Reversal Setup: Long Entry on TRIA/USDT (4-Hour Time Frame)
In the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, TRIA/USDT has recently caught the eye of traders looking for reversal opportunities. Based on the provided screenshot from a 5-minute chart dated February 6, 2026, which captures a sharp decline followed by a bounce, we can extrapolate a compelling long entry setup on the higher 4-hour time frame. This analysis focuses on a potential bullish reversal, drawing from observed support zones, recent price action, and technical patterns like a forming double bottom. While the screenshot shows intraday movements, the 4-hour chart provides a broader perspective, filtering out noise and highlighting sustainable trends.
Chart Overview and Market Context
TRIA, the native token of the Trias ecosystem (a blockchain project focused on trustworthy and reliable intelligent autonomous systems), has experienced significant downside pressure in early February 2026. The pair dropped from highs around 0.02637 USDT to a low of approximately 0.01305 USDT, as evident in the screenshot. This represents a steep correction, likely driven by broader market sentiment in the crypto space, including liquidations and reduced volume during pullbacks.
Switching to the 4-hour time frame, the price action reveals a consolidation phase near the lows, with signs of accumulation. The screenshot highlights key zones:
A red boxed area at the bottom (around 0.01305–0.01500 USDT), indicating strong support where buyers stepped in aggressively.
A green boxed area in the mid-range (approximately 0.015–0.016 USDT), suggesting a demand zone where price stabilized after the initial bounce.
A yellow horizontal line acting as minor resistance overhead (near 0.016–0.018 USDT), which the price is testing in the image.
On the 4-hour chart, this translates to a potential double bottom pattern, similar to what's been noted in recent analyses (e.g., a daily double bottom pushing toward higher Fibonacci levels). The relative strength index (RSI) on 4H is recovering from oversold levels (around 30–40), signaling diminishing selling pressure. Moving averages, such as the 50-period EMA, are flattening, hinting at a shift from downtrend to sideways-to-upward momentum. Volume spikes during the bounce in the screenshot support this, showing increased buying interest.
Current price (as of February 12, 2026) hovers around 0.0158–0.016 USDT, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $79 million, indicating liquidity for entries. The overall trend remains bearish on higher time frames, but the 4H setup offers a high-reward counter-trend trade if support holds.
Position Setup for Long Entry
For a long entry, we prioritize risk management, entering only on confirmation of bullish momentum to avoid false breakouts. Here's a structured setup inspired by the screenshot's price action:
Entry Point: Buy at 0.01600–0.01650 USDT. This is above the green demand zone in the screenshot, confirming a break above the yellow resistance line. Wait for a 4-hour candle close above this level with increasing volume to validate the entry. This aligns with the bounce seen in the image, where price rebounded from 0.01305 and is consolidating higher.
Stop Loss (SL): Place below the red support zone at 0.01450 USDT (about 9–10% below entry). This protects against a breakdown below the recent low (0.01305 USDT), accounting for volatility in perpetual futures. Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital per trade.
Position Sizing: Use leverage conservatively (e.g., 5x–10x on Binance Perpetuals, as shown in the screenshot). Calculate size based on your SL distance—for example, if risking $100, position size would be $100 / (entry - SL) adjusted for leverage.
Trade Rationale: The 4-hour chart shows price respecting the demand zone, with potential for an upward impulse if it mirrors the intraday recovery in the screenshot. Indicators like MACD are showing bullish divergence, and the pair's high 24-hour volume (2.73B TRIA in the image) suggests institutional interest.
Target Prices
Targets are set based on measured moves from the double bottom pattern and key resistance levels derived from recent highs. We divide them into "before resistance" (conservative, scaling out partial profits) and "after resistance" (aggressive, for if the breakout confirms).
Before Resistance (Conservative Targets):
TP1: 0.01800 USDT (13–15% gain from entry). This is near the 24-hour high in the screenshot (0.01942 USDT) and a minor resistance from prior swings. Scale out 40–50% of the position here to lock in profits, as price may retrace.
TP2: 0.01950 USDT (20–22% gain). This hits the psychological 0.02 level and aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent drop (from 0.02637 to 0.01305). Expect resistance here; scale out another 30%.
After Resistance (Breakout Targets):
TP3: 0.02200 USDT (35–38% gain). If price breaks above 0.01950 with strong volume, target the 61.8% Fibonacci level. This extends the momentum from the screenshot's bounce, potentially forming a new uptrend leg.
TP4: 0.02450–0.02600 USDT (50–60% gain). Trail stops here for the full reversal, aiming at the previous high (0.02637 USDT). This is aggressive and depends on market-wide bullish catalysts, like positive news for the Trias project.
Risk-reward ratio starts at 1:2 for TP1 and improves to 1:4+ for higher targets, making this setup attractive.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: Crypto pairs like TRIA/USDT can swing 10–20% intraday, as seen in the screenshot's 8.09% drop. Monitor funding rates on perpetuels to avoid liquidation.
Market Factors: Watch Bitcoin's dominance; a BTC dump could drag altcoins lower. Recent liquidations data shows more long positions rekt during pullbacks, so enter only on confirmation.
Invalidation: If price closes below 0.01450 on 4H, exit immediately—the setup fails, and a retest of 0.01305 lows is likely.
Time Horizon: This is a swing trade (2–7 days), not a scalp. Use the 4-hour frame for entries/exits, but check lower TFs like 5m (as in the screenshot) for fine-tuning.
This long setup on TRIA/USDT leverages the reversal hints in your screenshot, positioning for upside in a beaten-down asset. Always DYOR and trade with capital you can afford to lose—crypto markets are unpredictable. If the double bottom confirms, this could mark the start of a recovery wave. Happy trading!
#TrendingTopic #TRIAL_SIGNAL #Btc #Ethereum

Current Price & Trend Analysis

· Current Price: $0.023608
· Price Movement: +48.05% (significant bullish momentum)
· Key Indicators:
· RSI(6): 99.01 → Extremely overbought (above 90)
· MA(7): $0.019039 → Price trading well above
· Volume: 13.26M (below 5-period MA of 20.18M → potential divergence)

Chart Pattern & Levels

· Immediate Resistance: ~$0.0250-0.0260 (recent highs)
· Immediate Support: ~$0.0205 (previous consolidation)
· Stronger Support: $0.0173-0.0190 (MA(7) and recent swing low)
· Volume Trend: Declining volume during upward move → caution for sustainability

Trading Signal: BEARISH REVERSAL (Intraday)

Entry Point(s)

1. Primary Entry: $0.0245 - $0.0255 (short on rejection near resistance)
2. Secondary Entry: Breakdown below $0.0230 with increasing volume

Stop-Loss Placement

· Place above: $0.0265 (above recent swing high)
· Risk Management: Keep position size small due to extreme volatility

Take-Profit Targets

1. TP1: $0.0210 (near recent support)
2. TP2: $0.0195 (near MA(7) and stronger support)
3. TP3: $0.0175 (full retracement target)

---

Key Rationale & Risk Notes

1. RSI at 99.01 indicates severely overbought conditions—historically unsustainable.
2. Volume divergence suggests weakening bullish momentum.
3. Market Cap vs. FDV: FDV is 4.6x Market Cap, indicating significant unlocking/supply pressure ahead.
4. Volatility Warning: +48% move intraday suggests extreme sentiment—prepare for sharp reversals.

Recommendation: Wait for confirmation of reversal (e.g., bearish candle closure below $0.0240) before entering. Given the extreme RSI, a pullback is highly probable, but timing is critical. Use tight stops and consider scaling in.

Note: This is for intraday trading only. On-chain holders (17.5K) and liquidity ($1.51M) show moderate trader interest but thin depth for large orders.
#TRIA #TRIA #TRIAL_SIGNAL