jpmorganbitcoin

As global markets reel from a broad selloff, JPMorgan is pushing back against the prevailing fear. The bank argues that Bitcoin’s sharp decline has created a more compelling long-term setup than gold, even as investors rush toward traditional safe havens.

Key Takeaways
JPMorgan says Bitcoin is deeply oversold and more attractive long term than gold.Prices below mining costs point to capitulation-level stress.Extreme pessimism today could set up a future rebound.
In a note to clients, JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou highlighted the extreme divergence between the two assets. Gold has climbed roughly one-third since autumn, while Bitcoin has fallen more than 40% from its October peak.
According to the strategist, this gap reflects sentiment-driven behavior rather than a decisive verdict on Bitcoin’s long-term role as a store of value.
Price Below Production Signals Stress
One of JPMorgan’s key arguments is that Bitcoin has slipped well below its estimated cost of production, which the bank places near $87,000. Historically, trading beneath production costs has coincided with miner stress and forced selling, conditions that often appear near market bottoms.
While unprofitable miners may eventually exit and lower those costs, the current discount remains unusually large.
ETF Outflows Show Widespread Risk Aversion
Negative sentiment is not limited to price action. Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see steady outflows, signaling that both retail and institutional investors are stepping back simultaneously. JPMorgan views this broad-based retreat as a sign that pessimism may already be largely priced in.
The note also points to a record-low Bitcoin-to-Gold volatility ratio, now around 1.5. This shift is driven not only by Bitcoin’s weakness but also by rising volatility in gold itself.
On a volatility-adjusted basis, JPMorgan estimates Bitcoin would need a vastly larger market capitalization to match private-sector investment levels in gold, underscoring the scale of potential upside over a longer horizon.
A Long-Term Bet, Not a Short-Term Call
JPMorgan cautions that such a re-rating is not realistic in the near term. Still, the bank believes the current environment of fear, forced selling, and crowded gold trades could mark an attractive entry point for investors willing to look past the broader market crash and focus on long-term positioning rather than short-term turbulence.
#JPMorganBitcoin

While the retail market often gets caught up in the daily "noise" of green and red candles, the institutional giants are looking at a much larger scoreboard.

According to the latest analysis from JPMorgan, the world’s leading digital asset isn’t just performing—it is fundamentally undervalued. ### The "Digital Gold" Multiplier

JPMorgan’s strategists, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, have pointed to a specific valuation gap. By comparing Bitcoin’s volatility-adjusted risk to that of gold, their model suggests a "fair value" that towers over current market prices. If Bitcoin continues to bridge the gap with the $6 trillion private-sector investment in gold, a price target of $170,000 within the next 12 months isn't just a "moon shot"—it’s a mathematical projection.

Why the Tide is Shifting:

• The "Debasement Trade": In an era of global fiscal uncertainty, investors are flocking to "hard" assets. JPMorgan notes that both gold and Bitcoin are benefiting from a shift toward assets that can't be printed away.

• Institutional Infrastructure: With the "Clarity Act" on the horizon and increased ETF stability, the barriers for entry for trillion-dollar pension funds are finally dissolving.

• Market Bottoming: Recent data suggests that the deleveraging phase is largely behind us. As the "weak hands" exit, a stronger, more resilient floor is being established near the $90k–$94k range.

The Bigger Picture

We are moving past the era of speculation and into the era of structural integration. When a $4 trillion institution starts talking about six-figure valuations as "fair value," the conversation changes from if Bitcoin will reach these heights to when.

💬 What’s Your 2026 Strategy?

The "smart money" is positioning for a massive shift in the global market structure. Are you looking at this as a temporary pump, or are you preparing for Bitcoin to finally claim its seat at the table alongside global commodities?

Sound off below: Do you think $170k is a conservative target or a best-case scenario? 👇
#WhenWillBTCRebound #JPMorganBitcoin #BitcoinETFWatch #MarketCorrection #Write2Earn
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JPMorgan expects a "broad rally" after the quarter in which Nvidia reported revenues of $57 billion.
Bitcoin mining stocks jumped by as much as 10% based on Nvidia's results.
Michael Burry questions the true value to shareholders amid stock-based compensation.
JPMorgan's trading desk predicted an "everything rally" after Nvidia surpassed quarterly revenue expectations of $57 billion and guidance of $65 billion, resulting in a 5% increase in after-hours trading and adding more than $200 billion to the market value of the chipmaker.

J.P. Morgan's forecast signals Stablecoin Market Capital maturity and measured widespread. Payments sector still needs significant innovation to capture retail potential. JPMorgan predicts stable coin adoption to reach $500B by 2028, down from earlier trillion-dollar projections due to minimal real-world payments adoption, raising concerns about the end of the "stable coin revolution."
Stablecoin Market Capital Growth Stalls as Real-World Use Lags
Financial institutions have been paying more attention, but widespread public use has not emerged. Instead of being used in regular financial transactions, stable coins are still mostly utilized in digital asset space. The tech is solid, but these are not being used for everyday purchases or rent payments, and hype won't match reality until people move beyond trading and DeFi. Rails are built, but the roads are still empty.
GENIUS Act May Boost Stablecoin Market Capital—But Will It Be Enough?
Despite a 23% growth in 2024, only 6% of demand comes from real-world payments. Regulatory advances like the GENIUS Act help but challenges remain, including competition from state-backed digital currencies and limited consumer incentives. Mainstream adoption is critical for future expansion. Previous estimates that predicted it may reach the trillion-dollar threshold are in stark contrast to this figure. The bank listed delayed regulatory development and limited usage outside of cryptocurrency trading as the main obstacles.
Current Growth and Trends in the Stablecoin Market Capital
The stablecoin market capital, primarily US dollar-denominated, experienced a 23% expansion in 2024, reaching $254 billion. Despite this impressive growth, it doesn't necessarily signify widespread consumer adoption or inclusion in everyday business transactions.  Instead, continued use of cryptocurrency trading platforms is responsible for most of the growth.
The GENIUS Act, the most extensive regulatory framework to date aimed at stable coins, was recently passed by the US Senate, sparking interest in the industry's potential.  By the end of the decade, some analysts predict stablecoin market capital will have grown to a sizable $2 trillion to $4 trillion. JP Morgan, however, is still wary, pointing out ongoing fragmentation and little growth beyond the current crypto infrastructure.
Current Scenario Still Dominated by Crypto-Native Use Cases
JPMorgan Chase has lowered its outlook for the stablecoin market capital, predicting a $500 billion valuation by 2028. The bank criticized the $1-$2 trillion stablecoin market capital forecast, stating that these predictions are too optimistic compared to the current $250 billion value of the sector. The report also noted that its adoption for global payments is only 6%, compared to 88% in crypto-native environments. The digital asset class is more recognized for crypto-related services rather than everyday transactions. The analysts also dismissed the idea that they would replace traditional currencies due to a lack of yield and difficulties in moving between fiat and crypto. They also rejected comparisons between stable coins and China's e-CNY rollout and the rise of platforms like Alipay and WeChat Pay.
JPMorgan Warns Against Overhyped Trillion-Dollar Projections
JPMorgan's estimate highlights the need for stable coins to have broader real-world applications to match crypto hype. Regulation alone won't drive growth without adoption by everyday consumers and businesses. Industry players must focus on creating consumer benefits and overcoming infrastructural challenges to evolve stable coins from niche trading tools to mainstream financial instruments. A cautious approach and innovation will define stable coin success in the coming decade.

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#JPMorgan analysts are pushing back against fears that the recent $BTC slump signals a fresh “crypto winter.” They argue the latest pullback is a meaningful correction, not the start of a prolonged bear market, and point to continued institutional participation, stablecoin growth, and real-world adoption as reasons for confidence in the space.

📉 Volatility Doesn’t Equal Bear Market

Despite $BTC drop toward ~$81K–$93K in recent sessions, JPMorgan maintains that the broader bull cycle isn’t over and that fundamental indicators remain intact — signaling resilience rather than collapse.


📊 Analysts Still Positive on Bitcoin’s Future

JPMorgan’s latest internal forecast suggests that this period of weakness doesn’t necessarily herald a deep downturn and that crypto markets may still have room to run as macro conditions evolve.

🚀 Long-Term Upside Still Possible

In related commentary, analysts have also hinted that $BTC could surge toward much higher levels (e.g., potential targets well above current prices) if certain market conditions normalize — emphasizing that institutional demand could support future upside.
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