📉 Bitcoin vs Stock Market: Is it a deep squat jump, or a repeat of the nightmare of 2022?
While Wall Street is immersed in optimism, the cryptocurrency market has issued a 'red alert' unseen since 2022. Let's take a closer look:
🧨 CryptoRank Alert: Bear Market Signals Emerge
Analysts point out that the dynamics of the 200-day moving average (SMA) are deteriorating at the fastest rate since the last bear market.
Why should we be cautious? Based on historical experience, this kind of 'momentum collapse' usually does not occur during healthy adjustments, but rather reflects the market's real pressure.
🇺🇸 Stock Market Optimism High
In stark contrast to the anxiety in the crypto space: Gallup polls show that 50% of Americans expect the stock market to rise in the next six months. This is the second highest level of optimism since 2020!
🤔 What is different about the current market logic?
Looking back at 2022, it was a 'triple kill' for stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies, with liquidity completely drying up. But the current situation is very different:
The Nasdaq index is simply slowing its growth and has not collapsed. Risk appetite has only moderately cooled, and traditional markets are behaving very cautiously, rather than in a panic sell-off. Bitcoin's decoupling: BTC is showing 'weakness' independent of the market, which has sparked widespread discussion recently.
💡 How should we respond?
If Bitcoin continues to weaken while the stock market strengthens, it may indicate that funds are flowing back into large-cap tech stocks. However, as long as the macro environment remains stable, this kind of weakness in BTC could also lay the groundwork for a strong rebound once momentum resumes.
⚠️ Viewpoint: The current market is testing investors' patience. Focus on the repair of the 200-day moving average and strictly enforce risk management.
💬 What are your thoughts? Do you think there will be a major rebound before the end of the year, or will we continue to search for a new bottom? Feel free to discuss in the comments! 👇
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