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#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge 🚨🔥 Bitcoin Search Surge = Retail Is Back? 🔥🚨 Google searches for Bitcoin hit a 12-month high as BTC crashed from ~$81.5K to below $60K before rebounding near ~$70K. 📊🪙 This isn’t random — it’s a classic retail behavior signal. #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop 📈 Why Searches Spike During Dumps? 1️⃣ Panic & Curiosity Investors rush to Google: “Why is Bitcoin crashing?” News + liquidation hunts drive traffic 2️⃣ 🛒 “Buy The Dip” Mentality Sharp drops = perceived discount Retail looks for entry confirmation 3️⃣ Volatility = Attention Big red candles attract mainstream focus Even non-crypto users start searching 4️⃣ Retail Participation Signal Google Trends often used as retail proxy Recent spike + Coinbase premium suggests US spot buying pressure #BTCVSETF 😱 Fear & Greed Index at 5 (Extreme Fear) One of the lowest sentiment readings Historically a contrarian indicator Extreme fear zones often align with local bottoms But ⚠️ not every fear spike = instant reversal. #MarketCorrection 🔮 Short-Term Outlook If retail dip-buying continues → support holds above $65K If macro tightens (USD up, yields up) → retest of $60K possible Sustained recovery above $72K = bullish momentum reset #VolatilityAhead 🧠 Smart Money Insight Retail searches spike during stress. Whales accumulate quietly. Fear creates opportunity — but timing matters. @BTCWires 🚀 Bottom Line Search surge + Extreme Fear + Coinbase premium = early signs of retail re-engagement. Watch volume confirmation before full risk-on positioning. 🪙🔥 $TNSR {spot}(TNSRUSDT) $S {spot}(SUSDT) $BERA {spot}(BERAUSDT)
#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge 🚨🔥 Bitcoin Search Surge = Retail Is Back? 🔥🚨

Google searches for Bitcoin hit a 12-month high as BTC crashed from ~$81.5K to below $60K before rebounding near ~$70K. 📊🪙

This isn’t random — it’s a classic retail behavior signal.

#BTCMiningDifficultyDrop
📈 Why Searches Spike During Dumps?

1️⃣ Panic & Curiosity

Investors rush to Google: “Why is Bitcoin crashing?”

News + liquidation hunts drive traffic

2️⃣ 🛒 “Buy The Dip” Mentality

Sharp drops = perceived discount

Retail looks for entry confirmation

3️⃣ Volatility = Attention

Big red candles attract mainstream focus

Even non-crypto users start searching

4️⃣ Retail Participation Signal

Google Trends often used as retail proxy

Recent spike + Coinbase premium suggests US spot buying pressure

#BTCVSETF
😱 Fear & Greed Index at 5 (Extreme Fear)

One of the lowest sentiment readings

Historically a contrarian indicator

Extreme fear zones often align with local bottoms

But ⚠️ not every fear spike = instant reversal.

#MarketCorrection
🔮 Short-Term Outlook

If retail dip-buying continues → support holds above $65K

If macro tightens (USD up, yields up) → retest of $60K possible

Sustained recovery above $72K = bullish momentum reset

#VolatilityAhead
🧠 Smart Money Insight

Retail searches spike during stress.
Whales accumulate quietly.

Fear creates opportunity — but timing matters.

@BTC Wires
🚀 Bottom Line
Search surge + Extreme Fear + Coinbase premium = early signs of retail re-engagement.
Watch volume confirmation before full risk-on positioning. 🪙🔥

$TNSR

$S

$BERA
#BTCvsETH A simple secret that professionals hide in spot trading... Do you know it? Many beginners are looking for a complex strategy or a super indicator, while the real secret often lies in adhering to simple fundamentals! Today, I will share with you one of the simplest and most powerful ways to start with confidence: ✅ One Candle Strategy + RSI 🔹 Step 1: Switch to the 15-minute timeframe 🔹 Step 2: Add the RSI indicator with a setting of 14 🔹 Step 3: Observe the saturation areas (above 70 for selling – below 30 for buying) 🔹 Step 4: Wait for a strong reversal candle (like a hammer or engulfing) 🔹 Step 5: Enter immediately with a target of 1 to 2 times the stop loss 💡 Why is this strategy excellent? Simple and easy to understand Does not rely on many indicators Scalable later Works on most active currencies like: BTC, SOL, ETH, AVAX 💬 Tip of the day: You don't need to be a genius to win… just be disciplined. 📛 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and analytical purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading in cryptocurrencies involves risks and may lead to loss of capital. $BTC BTC 117,861.28 +0.11% $ETH ETH 3,580.4 +1.27% $SOL SOL 176.62 -0.13% #BTCVSETF
#BTCvsETH A simple secret that professionals hide in spot trading... Do you know it?
Many beginners are looking for a complex strategy or a super indicator, while the real secret often lies in adhering to simple fundamentals!
Today, I will share with you one of the simplest and most powerful ways to start with confidence:
✅ One Candle Strategy + RSI
🔹 Step 1: Switch to the 15-minute timeframe
🔹 Step 2: Add the RSI indicator with a setting of 14
🔹 Step 3: Observe the saturation areas (above 70 for selling – below 30 for buying)
🔹 Step 4: Wait for a strong reversal candle (like a hammer or engulfing)
🔹 Step 5: Enter immediately with a target of 1 to 2 times the stop loss
💡 Why is this strategy excellent?
Simple and easy to understand
Does not rely on many indicators
Scalable later
Works on most active currencies like: BTC, SOL, ETH, AVAX
💬 Tip of the day:
You don't need to be a genius to win… just be disciplined.
📛 Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and analytical purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading in cryptocurrencies involves risks and may lead to loss of capital.
$BTC
BTC
117,861.28
+0.11%
$ETH
ETH
3,580.4
+1.27%
$SOL
SOL
176.62
-0.13%
#BTCVSETF
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Bullish
Where is the Real Money in the Market? What is Realized Value? In the world of cryptocurrencies, Market Value is often the first number you see. But it is a Vanity Metric. If Bitcoin is at $100,000, the Market Value of coins lost forever since 2010 is at $100,000. This is absurd. To find the Solid Money that really flowed into the network, on-chain experts use Realized Value. 🔸 Main Difference: Market Value = Current Price x Circulating Supply. This assumes that everyone can sell all their coins immediately at the current price. This valuation is based on the emotion of the marginal buyer. Realized Cap calculates the value of each coin at the moment it was last moved. If a Whale bought 1,000 BTC in 2015 at $200 and never moved them, the Realized Cap values of that amount are $200,000 and not $100 million like the Market Cap. The Realized Cap is the sum of the Base Cost that the entire market spent to acquire Bitcoin. It is the most honest Ledger of the network. 🔸 During the most brutal bear markets, the Market Price often falls below the Realized Price. When the Market Price < Realized Price. This means that the entire market is, on average, at a Net Loss. Holders are experiencing maximum pain. The 15-year history of Bitcoin shows that buying Bitcoin when the Market Price is below the Realized Price is always the investment position with the most massive returns. It’s when you are buying assets cheaper than the base cost of the Whales. 🔹 Don’t let the Market Cap fool you into thinking that the market is too big or too expensive. Look at the Realized Cap. When the difference between the Market Cap and the Realized Cap decreases, that’s when Smart Money quietly accumulates. #BTC #BTCVSGOLD #BTCVSETF #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch
Where is the Real Money in the Market? What is Realized Value?
In the world of cryptocurrencies, Market Value is often the first number you see. But it is a Vanity Metric. If Bitcoin is at $100,000, the Market Value of coins lost forever since 2010 is at $100,000. This is absurd. To find the Solid Money that really flowed into the network, on-chain experts use Realized Value.
🔸 Main Difference:
Market Value = Current Price x Circulating Supply. This assumes that everyone can sell all their coins immediately at the current price. This valuation is based on the emotion of the marginal buyer.
Realized Cap calculates the value of each coin at the moment it was last moved.
If a Whale bought 1,000 BTC in 2015 at $200 and never moved them, the Realized Cap values of that amount are $200,000 and not $100 million like the Market Cap.
The Realized Cap is the sum of the Base Cost that the entire market spent to acquire Bitcoin. It is the most honest Ledger of the network.
🔸 During the most brutal bear markets, the Market Price often falls below the Realized Price.
When the Market Price < Realized Price. This means that the entire market is, on average, at a Net Loss. Holders are experiencing maximum pain.
The 15-year history of Bitcoin shows that buying Bitcoin when the Market Price is below the Realized Price is always the investment position with the most massive returns. It’s when you are buying assets cheaper than the base cost of the Whales.
🔹 Don’t let the Market Cap fool you into thinking that the market is too big or too expensive. Look at the Realized Cap. When the difference between the Market Cap and the Realized Cap decreases, that’s when Smart Money quietly accumulates.
#BTC #BTCVSGOLD #BTCVSETF #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch
😱🚨IS #ZEC AWAKENING?! CHARTS ARE ON FIRE🔥🚀 #Zcash ($ZEC ) = $447 Tension on the charts is HI😱🚨IS #ZEC AWAKENING?! CHARTS ARE ON FIRE🔥🚀 #Zcash ($ZEC ) = $447 Tension on the charts is HIGH! This level will either be where the rocket launches 🚀 or a critical decision point! 🔹 $447 = Main battle zone 🔹 Sustained ABOVE this level → bulls take control 🔹 High-volume breakout: ➡️ $470 – $500 band may be tested quickly 👀 ➡️ FOMO will start to be discussed afterwards 📉 Downside scenario: ❗ If $447 is held ➡️ Sudden wicks to the $420 – $400 support levels would not be surprising ➡️ A new upward attempt may be made after a weak or shakeout 📈 RSI side: Recovery from oversold conditions → signal of increased reaction ⚡ 🧠 Privacy coins move quietly… But the movement starts and doesn't wait! 😈 ⚠️This is not investment advice. The shared information is a personal technical analysis interpretation. Cryptocurrencies involve high risk, do your own research (DYOR). #BTCVSETF GOLD daha #USJobsData #CPIWatch

😱🚨IS #ZEC AWAKENING?! CHARTS ARE ON FIRE🔥🚀 #Zcash ($ZEC ) = $447 Tension on the charts is HI

😱🚨IS #ZEC AWAKENING?! CHARTS ARE ON FIRE🔥🚀
#Zcash ($ZEC ) = $447
Tension on the charts is HIGH! This level will either be where the rocket launches 🚀 or a critical decision point!
🔹 $447 = Main battle zone
🔹 Sustained ABOVE this level → bulls take control
🔹 High-volume breakout:
➡️ $470 – $500 band may be tested quickly 👀
➡️ FOMO will start to be discussed afterwards
📉 Downside scenario:
❗ If $447 is held
➡️ Sudden wicks to the $420 – $400 support levels would not be surprising
➡️ A new upward attempt may be made after a weak or shakeout
📈 RSI side:
Recovery from oversold conditions → signal of increased reaction ⚡
🧠 Privacy coins move quietly…
But the movement starts and doesn't wait! 😈
⚠️This is not investment advice. The shared information is a personal technical analysis interpretation.
Cryptocurrencies involve high risk, do your own research (DYOR).
#BTCVSETF GOLD daha #USJobsData #CPIWatch
🚀 $SOL / USDT Setup Entry Zone: 165.00 – 162.50 DCA Zone: 161.00 – 158.50 Stop-Loss: 155.00 Targets: → TP1: 170.50 → TP2: 173.50 → TP3: 178.00 → TP4: 185.00 💡 Watch the structure — if it holds, $SOL could make a strong upward move! #BTCVSETF
🚀 $SOL / USDT Setup

Entry Zone: 165.00 – 162.50

DCA Zone: 161.00 – 158.50

Stop-Loss: 155.00

Targets:

→ TP1: 170.50

→ TP2: 173.50

→ TP3: 178.00

→ TP4: 185.00


💡 Watch the structure — if it holds, $SOL could make a strong upward move!
#BTCVSETF
🚨 Hot Pick Alert — These 3 Coins Are Gaining Steam Fast! 🔥📊 📌 Hit those yellow tags → $PENGU , $ENA , and $ACH to get in early before the surge. What’s heating up right now: 🐧 Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) — a meme coin backed by a strong community and viral momentum. ⚡ Ethena ($ENA) — leading NFT innovation with unique real-world utility. 💳 Alchemy Pay ($ACH) — bridging crypto and traditional payments to fuel mass adoption. 💬 Comment down below if you grabbed any using the $ tags from this post! 🚀👇 👉 Follow me for exclusive early alpha, smart plays, and zero fluff. 🧠✨ #MemeCoinSeason #pengu #ACH #ENA #BTCVSETF {spot}(ENAUSDT) {spot}(ACHUSDT) {spot}(PENGUUSDT)
🚨 Hot Pick Alert — These 3 Coins Are Gaining Steam Fast! 🔥📊

📌 Hit those yellow tags → $PENGU , $ENA , and $ACH to get in early before the surge.

What’s heating up right now:

🐧 Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU ) — a meme coin backed by a strong community and viral momentum.

⚡ Ethena ($ENA ) — leading NFT innovation with unique real-world utility.

💳 Alchemy Pay ($ACH ) — bridging crypto and traditional payments to fuel mass adoption.

💬 Comment down below if you grabbed any using the $ tags from this post! 🚀👇

👉 Follow me for exclusive early alpha, smart plays, and zero fluff. 🧠✨
#MemeCoinSeason #pengu #ACH #ENA #BTCVSETF
Bought Coins From The Post 💪
0%
Didn't Buy From The Post 💩📉
0%
0 votes • Voting closed
Goof Luck My Followers.....! I have been sharing always best coins with beautiful trade, once more these three coins are in the great position to make a handsome trade. $LINK $ZEC $ETC These coins will surely go up. don't waste time. make a trade hurry up Claim #BTC and share #BTCVSETF
Goof Luck My Followers.....!
I have been sharing always best coins with beautiful trade, once more these three coins are in the great position to make a handsome trade.
$LINK $ZEC $ETC
These coins will surely go up.
don't waste time. make a trade hurry up
Claim #BTC and share
#BTCVSETF
0-5%
100%
5-10℅
0%
10-20%
0%
Not Staking, Holding BTC
0%
1 votes • Voting closed
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Bullish
Solana ($SOL ) is currently trading around $190.83, maintaining strong momentum after recent gains. Technical analysts note that SOL has reached the upper trendline of a rising wedge pattern, hovering near $186, which could signal a breakout toward $200 or a pullback to $175. #BTCVSETF
Solana ($SOL ) is currently trading around $190.83, maintaining strong momentum after recent gains.

Technical analysts note that SOL has reached the upper trendline of a rising wedge pattern, hovering near $186, which could signal a breakout toward $200 or a pullback to $175. #BTCVSETF
How to Trade a Fed Rate Cut: Crypto’s Playbook for September 2025🚨 The Fed is 91.7% likely to cut interest rates this month but what does that mean for crypto? 👉 In simple terms: When rates go down, money gets cheaper. Investors often move cash from safe assets (like bonds) into riskier ones (like Bitcoin and Ethereum). In the past, Bitcoin has rallied up to 57% after a cut. But 2025 is different: big institutions, whales, and altcoin trends may change the outcome. 📌 1. Why This Rate Cut Matters Lower rates = cheaper borrowing. Investors feel safer holding BTC and ETH. History: Bitcoin usually pumps after a cut. 2025 twist: ETFs and clear regulations mean big players are more involved than ever. 👉 If the Fed cuts, it’s like adding fuel to the fire for crypto. But if they don’t, the market could cool down fast. 📌 2. Bitcoin’s Setup – The 3 Key Levels $100K–$105K = Safety net. If $BTC falls below, things get ugly (possible $93K)$113K–$115K = Breakout zone. If BTC pushes above, expect a rally.{spot}(BTCUSDT)Whales are buying: Big wallets holding 100+ BTC hit a record high. 👉 I like to think of $105K as the “floor” and $113K as the “ceiling.” Whales are betting the floor holds. 📌 3. Ethereum & Altcoins – Weakness or Rotation? $ETH ETFs lost $500M in 4 days looks bearish at first glance.But ETH’s share of the market actually went up (now 21%) in the past month.BTC dominance dropped below 60% → often the start of an altcoin season. 👉 ETF means measure the value of investment dollars that investors have either added or removed from an exchange traded fund. 👉 Now: Ethereum saw much more money coming in than Bitcoin, with $3.87 billion added in August and $1.08 billion last week. Bitcoin, on the other hand, had $751.12 million taken out in August and only $440.71 million added last week. {spot}(ETHUSDT) 📌 4. Trading Playbook – Two Scenarios If Fed Cuts (most likely): Watch BTC break above $113K.Go long BTC, rotate into ETH & top alts.Use a stop-loss under $109K. If Fed Holds (less likely): BTC could retest $100K–$105K.Consider taking profits or moving some into stables.Avoid high leverage. 👉 If rates go down, crypto likely goes up. If not, prepare for more pain before a rally. 📌 5. Strategic Outlook – Short vs. Long Term Short term: Expect a lot of volatility around the Fed announcement. Quick pumps and dumps are likely.Long term: This looks like 2017—weak September, followed by a Q4 moonshot. But now, ETFs and whale buying add stability. 👉 Buckle up for a wild September, but don’t be surprised if Q4 is where the real rally begins. Conclusion 🌗 The Fed’s September decision is the make or break moment for crypto. A cut = fuel for the next rally. No cut = deeper dip, but possibly a bigger setup for Q4. 👉 Would you buy the Fed cut rally or fade it? If this playbook helped, hit 👍and consider following😊 #MarketPullback #USNonFarmPayrollReport #BTCVSETF #RedSeptember #BinanceHODLerOPEN

How to Trade a Fed Rate Cut: Crypto’s Playbook for September 2025

🚨 The Fed is 91.7% likely to cut interest rates this month but what does that mean for crypto?
👉 In simple terms: When rates go down, money gets cheaper. Investors often move cash from safe assets (like bonds) into riskier ones (like Bitcoin and Ethereum). In the past, Bitcoin has rallied up to 57% after a cut.
But 2025 is different: big institutions, whales, and altcoin trends may change the outcome.

📌 1. Why This Rate Cut Matters
Lower rates = cheaper borrowing. Investors feel safer holding BTC and ETH.
History: Bitcoin usually pumps after a cut.
2025 twist: ETFs and clear regulations mean big players are more involved than ever.
👉 If the Fed cuts, it’s like adding fuel to the fire for crypto. But if they don’t, the market could cool down fast.
📌 2. Bitcoin’s Setup – The 3 Key Levels
$100K–$105K = Safety net. If $BTC falls below, things get ugly (possible $93K)$113K–$115K = Breakout zone. If BTC pushes above, expect a rally.Whales are buying: Big wallets holding 100+ BTC hit a record high.
👉 I like to think of $105K as the “floor” and $113K as the “ceiling.” Whales are betting the floor holds.
📌 3. Ethereum & Altcoins – Weakness or Rotation?
$ETH ETFs lost $500M in 4 days looks bearish at first glance.But ETH’s share of the market actually went up (now 21%) in the past month.BTC dominance dropped below 60% → often the start of an altcoin season.
👉 ETF means measure the value of investment dollars that investors have either added or removed from an exchange traded fund.
👉 Now: Ethereum saw much more money coming in than Bitcoin, with $3.87 billion added in August and $1.08 billion last week. Bitcoin, on the other hand, had $751.12 million taken out in August and only $440.71 million added last week.


📌 4. Trading Playbook – Two Scenarios
If Fed Cuts (most likely):
Watch BTC break above $113K.Go long BTC, rotate into ETH & top alts.Use a stop-loss under $109K.
If Fed Holds (less likely):
BTC could retest $100K–$105K.Consider taking profits or moving some into stables.Avoid high leverage.
👉 If rates go down, crypto likely goes up. If not, prepare for more pain before a rally.
📌 5. Strategic Outlook – Short vs. Long Term
Short term: Expect a lot of volatility around the Fed announcement. Quick pumps and dumps are likely.Long term: This looks like 2017—weak September, followed by a Q4 moonshot. But now, ETFs and whale buying add stability.
👉 Buckle up for a wild September, but don’t be surprised if Q4 is where the real rally begins.
Conclusion 🌗
The Fed’s September decision is the make or break moment for crypto.
A cut = fuel for the next rally.
No cut = deeper dip, but possibly a bigger setup for Q4.
👉 Would you buy the Fed cut rally or fade it?
If this playbook helped, hit 👍and consider following😊

#MarketPullback #USNonFarmPayrollReport #BTCVSETF #RedSeptember #BinanceHODLerOPEN
Bitcoin ETF Outflows vs. Ethereum ETF Inflows Yesterday saw ~$85.8M in net outflows from spot BTC ETFs — a sign of cautious sentiment. Meanwhile, spot ETH ETFs recorded impressive net inflows of $332.2M, showing growing investor interest shifting toward Ethereum. 👉 Keep an eye on the rotation trend. ETH heating up.. #ETFspot #BTCvsETH #BTCVSETF #ETFEthereum
Bitcoin ETF Outflows vs. Ethereum ETF Inflows

Yesterday saw ~$85.8M in net outflows from spot BTC ETFs — a sign of cautious sentiment.

Meanwhile, spot ETH ETFs recorded impressive net inflows of $332.2M, showing growing investor interest shifting toward Ethereum.

👉 Keep an eye on the rotation trend. ETH heating up..
#ETFspot #BTCvsETH #BTCVSETF #ETFEthereum
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Bullish
🔥 LATEST: Trump family linked American Bitcoin Corp climbs to 25th spot among top Bitcoin treasuries, overtaking The Smarter Web Company. $BTC #BTCVSETF
🔥 LATEST: Trump family linked American Bitcoin Corp climbs to 25th spot among top Bitcoin treasuries, overtaking The Smarter Web Company.
$BTC
#BTCVSETF
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☕️ Morning Market Overview Weekends in a dull side note have already become a classic. 💰BTC 90 744$ 💠ETH 3 067$ Fear Index 30 Altseason Index 45 Bitcoin Dominance 59.11% There's a feeling that today we might get some surprise from Trump, he loves shaking up the markets on Sunday evenings. In any case, volatility will increase from Monday onwards. #BTCVSETF $BTC $ETH
☕️ Morning Market Overview

Weekends in a dull side note have already become a classic.

💰BTC 90 744$
💠ETH 3 067$

Fear Index 30
Altseason Index 45
Bitcoin Dominance 59.11%

There's a feeling that today we might get some surprise from Trump, he loves shaking up the markets on Sunday evenings. In any case, volatility will increase from Monday onwards.
#BTCVSETF $BTC $ETH
Bitcoin price at risk of a crash to $75 as a major BoJ risk loomsBitcoin price remained under intense pressure this weekend, and may be at risk of a deeper dive, potentially to $75,000 ahead of the Bank of Japan interest rate decision. The coin may crash this week as investors anticipate the upcoming Bank of Japan rate hike on December 19. Data on Polymarket show that there is a 98% probability that the bank will hike rates by 5 basis points as it combats the elevated inflation The upcoming BoJ rate hike is notable for a few reasons. First, it will reinforce its independence as Sanae Takaichi, the current prime minister, favors low interest rates.  Second, the rate hike comes a week after the Fed slashed by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark policy to between 3.50% and 3.75%. The divergence between the Fed and BoJ often leads to the unwinding of the carry trade that has existed for decades.  Third, history shows that Bitcoin price drops by double digits when the BoJ hikes rates. The most severe drop happened last year when the bank hiked rates for the first time in decades.  BREAKING: JAPAN WILL CRASH $BTC Bank of Japan is set to hike rates +25 bps on Dec 19. Japan = largest holder of US government debt Look at the $BTC chart: Every BoJ rate hike → Bitcoin dumps over 20% • March 2024 → -23% • July 2024 → -26% • January 2025 → -31% And now… another one loading. Is $70K coming next? Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve guided to just one rate cut in 2026, much lower than what analysts were expecting. While Trump may appoint a puppet as Fed Chair, there is a likelihood that other officials will act as a moderating force. Three Fed officials dissented in the last meeting, a trend that may continue next year.  Bitcoin price technical analysis  BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news Technical analysis suggests that the Bitcoin price has more downside to go in the coming weeks. It has already formed a death cross pattern on the daily chart. Bitcoin is now in the process of forming a bearish flag pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and an ascending channel. Like the death cross, this pattern often leads to more downside. BTC price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and the Supertrend indicators, a sign that bears are in control. Therefore, the most likely outlook is where it continues falling, with the initial target being the November low of $80,000.  A plunge below that level will point to further downside, potentially to the support at $74,500, the lowest level in April this year. #btc #BTC #BTCVSETF #CPIWatch #BTCVSGOLD $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $XRP {spot}(XRPUSDT)

Bitcoin price at risk of a crash to $75 as a major BoJ risk looms

Bitcoin price remained under intense pressure this weekend, and may be at risk of a deeper dive, potentially to $75,000 ahead of the Bank of Japan interest rate decision.
The coin may crash this week as investors anticipate the upcoming Bank of Japan rate hike on December 19. Data on Polymarket show that there is a 98% probability that the bank will hike rates by 5 basis points as it combats the elevated inflation
The upcoming BoJ rate hike is notable for a few reasons. First, it will reinforce its independence as Sanae Takaichi, the current prime minister, favors low interest rates. 
Second, the rate hike comes a week after the Fed slashed by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark policy to between 3.50% and 3.75%. The divergence between the Fed and BoJ often leads to the unwinding of the carry trade that has existed for decades. 
Third, history shows that Bitcoin price drops by double digits when the BoJ hikes rates. The most severe drop happened last year when the bank hiked rates for the first time in decades. 
BREAKING: JAPAN WILL CRASH $BTC

Bank of Japan is set to hike rates +25 bps on Dec 19. Japan = largest holder of US government debt Look at the $BTC chart:

Every BoJ rate hike → Bitcoin dumps over 20%
• March 2024 → -23%
• July 2024 → -26%
• January 2025 → -31%

And now… another one loading.

Is $70K coming next?

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve guided to just one rate cut in 2026, much lower than what analysts were expecting. While Trump may appoint a puppet as Fed Chair, there is a likelihood that other officials will act as a moderating force. Three Fed officials dissented in the last meeting, a trend that may continue next year. 
Bitcoin price technical analysis 

BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news

Technical analysis suggests that the Bitcoin price has more downside to go in the coming weeks. It has already formed a death cross pattern on the daily chart.
Bitcoin is now in the process of forming a bearish flag pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and an ascending channel. Like the death cross, this pattern often leads to more downside.
BTC price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and the Supertrend indicators, a sign that bears are in control. Therefore, the most likely outlook is where it continues falling, with the initial target being the November low of $80,000. 
A plunge below that level will point to further downside, potentially to the support at $74,500, the lowest level in April this year.

#btc #BTC #BTCVSETF #CPIWatch #BTCVSGOLD

$BTC

$XRP
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