Bitcoin ($BTC ) staged a modest rebound after dipping to multi-month lows, following the narrow approval of a US government funding bill that brought a brief shutdown to an end. The move eased immediate political uncertainty, helping risk appetite stabilize across crypto markets at least for now.
BTC slid sharply to the $72,800–$73,100 range during peak shutdown fears, marking its weakest levels since before President Trump’s 2024 election victory. As Congress passed the funding package and President Trump signed it into law, Bitcoin recovered toward $75,000–$76,000, while the total crypto market capitalization steadied near $2.7 trillion.
The rebound, however, appears more like a relief rally than a full-fledged trend reversal.
How the Funding Deal Moved Bitcoin
The US government entered a partial shutdown on January 31 after lawmakers failed to reach a funding agreement. Markets reacted swiftly: risk assets sold off, leveraged positions were unwound, and crypto faced heightened volatility as economic data delays and policy uncertainty weighed on sentiment.
As news broke that Congress had narrowly approved a funding bill restoring financing for most government agencies through September 2026 Bitcoin’s decline halted and reversed. Multiple market reports linked the bounce directly to the removal of shutdown risk, as traders moved back in once the worst-case scenario was avoided.
Still, the stabilization came after a sharp sell-off, underscoring how fragile sentiment remains.
Why US Political Stability Matters for Crypto
Government shutdowns disrupt economic data releases, cloud monetary policy expectations, and dampen risk appetite all of which directly affect crypto markets. During the shutdown scare, Bitcoin saw heavy liquidations as traders de-risked.
Once the deal passed, a key near-term tail risk disappeared. This allowed Bitcoin to reclaim lost ground and helped markets find a temporary floor. However, broader indicators remain cautious:
The total crypto market cap is still down around 2% over 24 hours
Market sentiment sits firmly in “extreme fear”
Bitcoin dominance near 59% suggests capital is concentrating in BTC rather than flowing into higher-risk altcoins
Translation: Investors are defensive, not euphoric.
Key Risks and Catalysts Ahead
Despite the funding deal, risks haven’t vanished.
Another political deadline looms, as Department of Homeland Security funding runs on a shorter timeline, opening the door to renewed tensions.
Upcoming US economic data particularly inflation and jobs reports will shape interest-rate expectations and liquidity conditions.
Structural selling pressure persists, with on-chain data showing whales and ETFs offloading tens of thousands of BTC, even as smaller wallets attempt to buy the dip.
Recent volatility triggered hundreds of millions of dollars in liquidations, highlighting how sensitive the market remains to negative catalysts.
If political uncertainty resurfaces or macro data disappoint while large holders continue selling, Bitcoin could easily revisit or break below its recent lows.
Bottom Line
The US funding deal removed an immediate shock to markets, allowing Bitcoin to rebound from deep intraday losses and helping the broader crypto market stabilize in the short term.
But with sentiment still in extreme fear, structural sellers active, and fresh political and macro catalysts approaching, this move looks more like a temporary relief phase than a confirmed long-term turning point.
For now, Bitcoin is standing on a fragile floor and the next catalyst will decide whether it holds or cracks.
#BTCReboundSoon