🚨 The US–Iran conflict may be entering its final phase.
Many people believe this war could drag on for months. I see it differently.
Both sides now understand each other's biggest pressure points, and the situation is moving toward a decisive moment.
Iran knows one thing clearly: if oil prices stay above $100, the global economy especially the US starts feeling real pressure.
That’s why the Strait of Hormuz has become the central battlefield.
By disrupting this route and targeting energy infrastructure, Iran is trying to apply maximum pressure through oil supply.
But the US also understands Iran’s strategy.
If Washington manages to secure full control over the Strait, Iran loses its strongest leverage. And without that leverage, China would also have less incentive to continue backing Tehran, since stable oil flow is critical for them.
The next two weeks could be crucial.
Trump has already ordered US warships toward the Strait of Hormuz and is encouraging other nations to help secure the route. The objective is simple: keep global oil moving no matter what.
If the US succeeds in guaranteeing safe passage there, Iran’s main bargaining chip disappears.
Interestingly, Iran’s tone has already started to shift.
Their foreign minister recently signaled openness to negotiations and called for attacks from the US and Israel to stop. He also mentioned discussions around ensuring safe navigation through Hormuz.
Iran even hinted that the Strait could reopen if an agreement is reached.
Another key factor: Trump is scheduled to meet China president in Beijing within two weeks.
Since Iran maintains strong ties with China, this meeting could become a critical diplomatic moment. China has every reason to help calm the situation and restore stability in global energy markets.
US stocks have started to feel the pressure, and prolonged instability would create political problems for Trump ahead of upcoming elections.
For that reason, Washington likely wants this situation resolved quickly before economic damage grows.