Crypto Impact: The 3 Scenarios

🔭 Scenario A — Short War (4 weeks, as Trump predicted):

Oil drops back below $80. Rate cut expectations return. Risk-on rally. BTC breaks $74,400 resistance → targets $87,000.

Scenario B — Prolonged War (3–6 months):

Deficit spending surges. Dollar debasement accelerates. BTC becomes macro hedge alongside gold. Target: retest $100K zone.

Scenario C — Regional Escalation (Hormuz permanently disrupted):

$200 oil. Inflation explosion. Risk assets crash. BTC tests $55K–$60K support. Only strong hands survive.

Know your scenario. Trade your thesis. Don't trade your emotions. #Bitcoin #IranWar #Geopolitics #ScenarioAnalysis