$NAORIS / USDT – Range Illusion or Breakdown Loading? ⚠️
Market participants are labeling this as consolidation, but lower-timeframe structure suggests distribution forming near the upper band of the range. Volatility compression often precedes expansion — and the bias currently leans bearish.
📌 Position: SHORT 🔴
Entry Zone:
0.03587 – 0.03708
Stop Loss:
0.04013 (Above range high / structure invalidation)
Targets:
🎯 0.03282 – Range mid liquidity
🎯 0.03160 – Prior demand test
🎯 0.02916 – Range low sweep zone
🔎 Technical Perspective
• 4H structure showing lower high formation
• Price sitting near optimal short entry (≈0.0364 area)
• 15m RSI deeply oversold (~28) — short-term bounce possible
• Daily timeframe compression = breakout pending
🧠 The Key Question:
Is the oversold RSI signaling buyer strength…
or simply creating liquidity for a better short reload before continuation down?
Often in bearish environments, oversold conditions lead to weak relief bounces that get sold into. If price rejects inside the entry zone and fails to reclaim 0.038–0.039 with strength, downside expansion toward range lows becomes highly probable.
⚠️ Clean breakout and hold above 0.040 invalidates the bearish structure.
Trade smart. Let confirmation come to you — not emotion.
