🔴🔵 BTC + ETH | The market is absorbing — not collapsing
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Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are bleeding right now. Red candles, high volume, momentum to the downside. The headline looks bearish. The data tells a more interesting story.

What the numbers actually say:
On ETH, exhaustion hit 100% on the 5M and 99% on the 15M — the highest readings possible. On BTC, sigma is at -2.28, statistically significant selling pressure by any measure. Efficiency on ETH is running at 400%, BTC at 220–264%. That means price is moving far more than the actual delta behind the move justifies.
In plain language: sellers are pushing, but someone on the other side is quietly absorbing every order. The candles look violent. The real pressure underneath is not as large as it appears.
This is what institutional accumulation looks like from the outside.

Does this mean buy now? No.
All timeframes on both assets remain fully bearish. Three Black Crows confirmed on ETH. Bearish manipulation signals active on the 30M. The trend hasn't changed and we're not calling a reversal.
What it means is that the move is running on fumes. A relief bounce is coming before the next leg down — and the liquidation heatmap already shows the roadmap. On ETH, the yellow long liquidation cluster at $1,895–$1,905 is the likely sweep target below before the bounce toward $1,950–$1,960. On BTC, the yellow cluster at $65,800–$66,100 is the immediate magnet, with the bounce targeting $67,400–$67,600 where the dominant short liquidation cluster sits.
The market is about to shake out both sides. Longs first, then shorts.
Watch the levels. Don't chase candles.

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