cryptopatience

Ethereum is currently trading within a key higher-timeframe structure, and price action is approaching a decisive area that could define the next major swing.
🔎 Market Structure (HTF + LTF View)
Higher Timeframe (Daily/Weekly):
ETH remains in a broader bullish structure as long as it holds above the previous higher low. The trend bias stays bullish unless a clear break of structure (BOS) occurs to the downside.
Lower Timeframe (4H/1H):
Price is compressing near resistance, forming a potential ascending structure. Volatility contraction often leads to expansion — meaning a breakout move could be near.
📈 Key Technical Zones
Major Resistance: Previous supply zone where sellers stepped in aggressively.
Major Support: Demand zone aligned with prior consolidation + liquidity sweep area.
Liquidity Pools: Equal highs above current range suggest buy-side liquidity waiting to be taken.
If price sweeps liquidity above resistance and holds, that would confirm bullish continuation. A fake breakout followed by rejection could signal distribution.
📊 Indicators & Momentum
RSI: Neutral to slightly bullish — no strong divergence yet.
Volume: Declining during consolidation (healthy), expansion needed for breakout confirmation.
EMA Structure: If price stays above the 50 & 200 EMA on 4H, momentum favors bulls.
🔥 Bullish Scenario
Break and close above resistance with strong volume.
Retest of breakout level as support.
Continuation toward previous swing high and potential new yearly highs.
Targets should align with liquidity zones rather than random numbers.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario
Rejection at resistance.
Break below local higher low (minor BOS).
Move toward lower demand zone and possible deeper correction.
Loss of higher timeframe support would invalidate the bullish bias.
💡 Strategy Approach (Risk Managed)
Wait for confirmation — avoid guessing.
Use structure-based stop loss below invalidation level.
Maintain strict risk management (1–2% capital per trade).
Focus on R:R ≥ 1:2 minimum.
🧠 Final Technical Outlook
Ethereum is at a compression point. Breakout traders should wait for confirmation, while range traders can play support/resistance until structure shifts.
The next impulse move will likely be volume-driven — patience is key.
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