The U.S. dollar could regain strength if tensions in the Middle East escalate again. Rising oil prices typically fuel inflation
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concerns, which may reduce expectations for U.S. interest-rate cuts.
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Recent comments suggesting the conflict could end soon pushed oil and the dollar lower, but the geopolitical situation remains fragile. Any new surge in oil could quickly shift market sentiment back toward a stronger dollar.
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Markets will continue watching oil closely as it influences inflation and the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook.