Right now price is still trapped inside the full range of the February 5 down candle. That single candle has contained price for almost a month. Until we break out of it, everything that happens inside is just noise. Even if the low is already in, structure still needs time to develop.
Look at the chart. The bounce from 59.9 has only taken us into the lower part of the range (top of the last capitulation candle) and into some early moving average resistance. That is normal. A market that just dropped from 98k to 59k is not going to reclaim higher timeframe levels in a straight line.
If this is the early stage of a bottoming process, the signs will always show up in the same places. Key horizontal levels. Key reclaim points. Key acceptance zones. And whether those levels fail or hold on higher timeframes.
The first chart shows the zone we are stuck in. This is your candle range. Until price escapes the full body and reclaims it, there is no thought of a structural shift. Bulls need to take back that zone and hold above it. Not wick above it. Hold above it. If price breaks out but cannot accept at the new level, that is not a breakout. It is a trap.
The second chart shows a more typical bottom. A large selloff. A range that forms. A slow reclaim of lost ground. One level at a time. Each level becomes a test. The market either accepts the reclaim, or you get a swing failure pattern that rejects and sends the price lower. That slow crawl is common because bottoms form when buyers gradually prove they are willing to absorb the supply that forced the initial drop.
The third chart shows the rare version. The V type. These happen when you get a violent move down followed by immediate defense of the wick lows and the close. Notice how clean the stepping structure is. Price fights through each area of resistance. It does not teleport. It grinds. It reclaims. It accepts. Then moves to the next level. That is the clue for a real V-bottom. Not the violence of the initial bounce, but the calm strength that follows.
