$UAI Bias SHORT

📊 Market Structure & Liquidity

• HTF (4H/1D): Price is free-falling below all major EMAs. The 4H chart shows a clean break of structure from 0.3356. No consolidation, just distribution.

• LTF (15m/5m): We're range-bound between 0.1771 and 0.1795. This is indecision, not accumulation.

• Order book: 51.47% bids vs 48.53% asks, but the bid wall at 0.16 (273k) is the real target. The ask side is thin until 0.19. Sellers are in control.

🎯 Smart Money

• Funding: +0.00500% for the last 10 consecutive periods. Price down, funding positive = trapped longs paying to bleed. This is the cleanest signal I have.

• Liquidity: The stop cluster is directly below 0.1771. A sweep there triggers mass stops and fuels the next leg down.

• Market Maker Model: We're deep in mark-down. The current range is manipulation before the next sweep.

📈 Confluence (5 checks)

• Funding: Positive during downtrend = bearish 💣

• Super trend: On 4H at 0.2406, 1H at 0.2037—both above price, acting as resistance.

• RSI: 1D at 38.68, 4H at 32.67, 1H at 26.33—all below 40, momentum down.

• MACD: 4H histogram negative, signal line below zero.

• Order Flow: Ask walls at 0.19/0.20 are stronger than bids at 0.17/0.18. Path of least resistance is down.

🎯 Entry Execution

• Zone: 0.1785 - 0.1795

• Reasoning: Retest of the breakdown range as resistance. If price can't reclaim 0.1800, sellers step back in.

• Order: Limit in this zone. If it sweeps 0.1771 first, I wait for the retest.

🛡️ Risk & Targets

• Stop: 0.1830—above the recent 15m consolidation high. If price reclaims this, the breakdown is fake.

• TP1: 0.1740 (scalp, first liquidity grab)

• TP2: 0.1650 (swing, next bid wall)

• R:R: 1:4 (from entry at 0.1790 to TP2)

• Conviction: 9/10. Funding confirms trapped longs, structure confirms trend, order book confirms target.