$UAI I'm watching this one quietly — it's setting up differently.

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📊 Market Structure

• HTF (4H/1D): Ranging with bearish bias. Price rejected from 0.328 (24H high), now trading at 0.228. 24H low 0.2058 is key support.

• LTF (1H/15m): Downward channel. 15m StochRSI hit 0.00 — deeply oversold. Bounce imminent, but is it a reversal or a trap?

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💰 Funding Rate (CRITICAL)

• Last 10+ periods: CONSISTENTLY POSITIVE (0.00500%)

• One spike: 0.03311% on dump

Translation: Price DOWN 23% but funding POSITIVE = TRAPPED LONGS. They're paying to hold losing positions. Bearish divergence. Smart money is short.

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📈 Indicator Confluence

• RSI (4H): 44.83 — bearish momentum

• RSI (1H): 38.00 — oversold but not extreme

• StochRSI (15m): 0.00 — BOUNCE COMING

• MACD (4H): Histogram negative (-0.0016)

• Volume: Declining — consolidation before move

• Order book: 53.01% bids | 46.99% asks — buy-side liquidity = sell-side execution

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🔍 My Entry

• Zone: 0.245 - 0.250 (on bounce retrace)

• Reason: Trapped longs will get relief, then distribution. This is where I short.

• Order: Limit at 0.247. Wait for the oversold bounce to die.

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🛡️ Risk Management

• Stop: 0.265 — above recent structure

• Why: If price reclaims this, shorts trapped

• TP1: 0.220 (scalp — nearest bid)

• TP2: 0.208 (swing — above 24H low)

• TP3: 0.190 (runner — extension)

• R:R: Stop 0.265 | Entry 0.247 | TP3 0.190 = 1:3.1

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🧠 Psychology

Market is fearful — 23% drop. Longs are praying for a bounce. When it comes, they'll add more... and get trapped again. Smart money? Shorting into that hope.

Conviction: 7/10 — funding confirms, HTF range respects. Risk: oversold bounce could be violent.

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⚠️ Invalidation

Above 0.265 = thesis dead. If bounce stalls below 0.250, I short earlier.

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🎯 Watching that 24H low — but I'm selling the bounce, not buying it.