$SIREN I'm watching this setup unfold right now — and it's a different game than the last one.
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📊 Market Structure
• HTF (1D): EXPLOSIVE uptrend. Price pumped from 0.014 to 0.63 in days. Now pulling back. 24H high 0.559, low 0.286. We're at 0.339.
• LTF (4H/1H): Sharp correction. 4H broke below EMA200 (0.190? No — that's old). Current 4H EMA: 9 below 15 below 50 — bearish alignment short-term.
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💰 Funding Rate (CRITICAL FLIP)
• Last 10 periods: MIXED — but look closer:
· Recent: NEGATIVE (-0.00353%, -0.00252%)
· Before that: STRONG POSITIVE (+0.041%, +0.033%)
Translation: Market just flipped from longs-paying to shorts-paying as price dropped. Price DOWN + funding NEGATIVE = TRAPPED SHORTS. Bullish divergence.
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🎯 Smart Money
Liquidity sits below 24H low (0.2865). Stops clustered there. But with funding flipping negative? Smart money is positioning for a long.
Order book confirms: 52.84% bids | 47.16% asks. Buyers stacking at 0.30-0.33.
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📈 Indicator Confluence
• RSI (1D): 74.07 — overbought, needs cooling
• RSI (4H): 50.16 — neutral, room to move
• StochRSI (4H): 4.35 — OVERSOLD. Bounce incoming.
• MACD (4H): Histogram positive (0.039), slowing but still bullish
• Volume: Declining on pullback — healthy consolidation
• Supertrend (1H): Just flipped to 0.3537 (resistance) but price holding above
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🔍 My Entry
• Zone: 0.330 - 0.335 (above 24H low, below current price — dip buy)
• Reason: Sweep of 0.286? Maybe. But funding flip says shorts trapped. I want longs where they panic.
• Order: Limit at 0.332. Scale in 50% there, 50% at 0.315 if we dip harder.
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🛡️ Risk Management
• Stop: 0.285 — below 24H low
• Why: If price breaks here, liquidity sweep failed, shorts win
• TP1: 0.380 (scalp — nearest ask cluster)
• TP2: 0.430 (swing — previous structure)
• TP3: 0.550 (runner — retest highs)
• R:R: Stop 0.285 | Entry 0.332 | TP3 0.550 = 1:4.5
