$XNY I'm looking at my screen right now, and I see exactly what's happening. Let me walk you through this setup.
📊 Market Structure
• HTF (4H/1D): Bearish. Price broke below EMA200 on 4H (0.004881) and is printing lower lows. 24H high at 0.006005, low at 0.004570 — we're trading just above that low.
• LTF (1H/15m): Consolidation at demand zone. 15m showing Bollinger squeeze (UB: 0.004691, LB: 0.004621). Price hugging EMA9/15 — indecision.
🎯 Smart Money
Liquidity sits below 24H low (0.004570). Stops are clustered there. Has price swept it? Not yet. But funding tells me where trapped traders are...
💰 Funding Rate (CRITICAL)
• Last 10+ periods: ALL POSITIVE (0.00500% consistently)
• Price is DOWN 17% but funding stays POSITIVE
Translation: Longs are trapped. They're paying to stay in losing positions. This is bearish divergence — shorts are getting paid while price drops. Massive liquidity building for the next leg down.
📈 Indicator Confluence (4+ confirms)
• RSI (4H): 42.32 — bearish momentum
• MACD (4H): Histogram negative (-0.000133), signal line below zero
• Moving Averages: 4H EMAs stacked bearish (9 < 15 < 50 < 100 < 200)
• StochRSI (1H): 12.65 — oversold, but that's a bounce trap
• Order book: 61.20% bids | 38.80% asks — buy-side liquidity = sell-side execution
🔍 My Entry
• Zone: 0.00455 - 0.00458 (below 24H low sweep + retest)
• Reason: Price will grab stops below 0.00457, then retest as resistance. That's my short entry.
• Order: Limit at retest. Let them sweep first.
🛡️ Risk Management
• Stop: 0.00470 — above recent consolidation
• Why: If price reclaims this, breakdown fails
• TP1: 0.00442 (scalp — nearest bid cluster)
• TP2: 0.00428 (swing — next support)
• TP3: 0.00400 (runner — psychological level)
• R:R: Stop 0.00470 | Entry 0.00456 | TP3 0.00400 = 1:4
🧠 Psychology
Market is fearful. 17% drop in a day. Longs are hoping for a bounce but funding says they're trapped. Smart money? They're shorting into this "support" because they know the liquidity grab is coming.

