$ARC 📉 Here's what I'm watching right now.
Price is -66% in freefall, sitting at 0.036. Market's bleeding. But that's exactly where setups are born.
📊 HTF Structure (4H/1D):
Complete breakdown. EMAs in a death grip—9 below 15 below 50. Supertrend overhead at 0.049. Every rally has been sold. Trend is your friend, and my friend is short.
🔍 LTF Structure (15m/1h):
Price is chopping near 0.035-0.036 after a vertical drop. We're not shorting here—too late. I'm waiting for the dead cat bounce to reload shorts.
💣 Smart Money:
Look at funding history. Every single period positive—longs paying to stay in, even as price collapsed from 0.12 → 0.036. That's MASSIVE trapped liquidity. They're hoping for a bounce. Smart money will give them one, then take their stops.
🎯 Key Levels:
Resistance cluster: 0.0395 - 0.0410 (prior support, 4H EMA 9/15 confluence). Below us, liquidity sits at 0.035 (today's low) and 0.030 (psychological).
📈 Indicator Confluence:
· RSI 21-27—deep oversold, but that's a bounce magnet, not a buy signal.
· MACD histogram flattening—momentum slowing, ripe for a grind up to trap.
· Volume declining—sellers exhausted for now, but no accumulation yet.
· StochRSI hit 0.00 twice—capitulation wicks, bounce incoming.
💰 Funding Rate:
CRITICAL. Price down, funding positive every 4h for days. Trapped longs are the fuel. When we rally slightly, they'll add to losers. That's my exit liquidity.
🎯 Trade Plan (SHORT):
· Entry Zone: 0.0395 - 0.0405
· Why: Retest of breakdown level + 4H EMA resistance + trapped longs add here
· Order: Limit @ 0.0400, wait for sweep of 0.041
· Stop Loss: 0.0450
· Why: Above recent 1H consolidation + 4H structure shift. If price clears this, my thesis breaks.
· Take Profits:
· TP1: 0.0350 (today's low scalp)
· TP2: 0.0300 (major psychological + next liquidity pool)
· TP3: 0.0250 (extension runner)
· R:R: Entry 0.0400, Stop 0.0450 (risk 0.0050). TP2 0.0300 (reward 0.0100). 1:2.
