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🇺🇸 **U.S. Fiscal Outlook: $23 Trillion in Deficits Ahead?**

Projections show that the U.S. federal budget deficit could accumulate **around $23 trillion between 2026 and 2035**, with annual deficits approaching — and potentially exceeding — **$3 trillion by the middle of the next decade**.

What makes this more concerning is that these estimates **do not assume a recession**. The persistent shortfall reflects **structural pressures**, including rising mandatory spending (Social Security, Medicare) and growing interest payments on existing debt.

📊 **Why this matters:**

* Fiscal sustainability is becoming more fragile

* Debt issuance is likely to increase significantly over the medium and long term

* Higher supply of Treasuries could impact yields and liquidity conditions

* Long-term implications for the USD and risk assets

The key takeaway: this isn’t a cyclical deficit story — it’s structural. And structural imbalances tend to reshape markets over time.

#USD #FiscalPolicy #USDebt #Treasuries #Macro #GlobalMarkets