$RIVER
Based on the chart yi shared and the current market data for RIVER/USDT as of late February 2026, you are in a high-risk situation. You are down -42.79% on a Long position with an entry around 8.290, while the current price is 7.869.
Here is a breakdown of what the chart and market context are telling us:
1. Technical Analysis (The "Wait for Pump" Reality)
The Trend: The chart shows a massive downtrend (a "falling knife"). RIVER crashed from an all-time high of nearly $88 in late January to its current level. This isn't just a small dip; it's an 80-90% wipeout of its peak value.
Support Levels: The price is currently hovering around the $7.50 - $7.80 range. If it breaks below $7.22 (the recent low on your chart), the decline could accelerate toward $6.00 or lower.
Indicators:
RSI: Your RSI is around 32-34, which is near "oversold." This usually suggests a small relief bounce (a "dead cat bounce") might happen soon, but it doesn't guarantee a full recovery to your entry price.
MFI (Money Flow Index): At 37, it shows money is still leaving the asset rather than flowing in.
2. Fundamental Risks
Token Unlocks: There was a significant wave of token unlocks (over $180M) scheduled for mid-February. This is likely why you are seeing constant selling pressure; new tokens are entering the market and being sold.
Manipulation Warnings: Market analysts have flagged RIVER as a "high control" project, meaning a few large wallets control most of the supply. This makes the "pumps" very fast but the "dumps" even faster.